Sokół Kleczew vs Podhale Nowy Targ preview
Sokół Kleczew faces Podhale Nowy Targ with a 27% chance of winning for Sokół and a 48% chance for Podhale. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with our model predicting 61% for Over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
Sokół Kleczew has an expected goals figure of 1.32, while Podhale Nowy Targ stands at 1.83. Recent form shows Sokół with a win and a draw, while Podhale has two consecutive wins. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating uncertainty in the predictions.
Sokół Kleczew vs Podhale Nowy Targ: model vs market
| Source | Sokół Kleczew | Draw | Podhale Nowy Targ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27% | 25% | 48% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 27% | 25% | 48% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.83 vs 1.32.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 2 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Sokół Kleczew and Podhale Nowy Targ expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.15
- Attack rating (Sokół Kleczew / Podhale Nowy Targ)
- 1.09 / 1.19
- Defence rating (Sokół Kleczew / Podhale Nowy Targ)
- 0.99 / 0.81
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Sokół Kleczew vs Podhale Nowy Targ score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Sokół Kleczew goals. Columns: Podhale Nowy Targ goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Sokół Kleczew vs Podhale Nowy Targ goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 63%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Sokół Kleczew vs Podhale Nowy Targ
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sokół Kleczew | 27% | 3.76 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.02 | |
| Podhale Nowy Targ | 48% | 2.06 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61% | 1.64 |
| Under 2.5 | 39% | 2.56 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63% | 1.60 |
| No | 37% | 2.67 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Sokół Kleczew or draw) | 52% | 1.94 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or Podhale Nowy Targ) | 73% | 1.36 | |
| Handicap -1 | Podhale Nowy Targ win by 2+ | 28% | 3.63 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Sokół Kleczew and Podhale Nowy Targ recent form
Sokół Kleczew
1W 1D 0L
Podhale Nowy Targ
2W 0D 0L
Last 2 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
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