Ruch Chorzów vs Odra Opole preview
In the I Liga fixture between Ruch Chorzów and Odra Opole, the 1X2 probabilities show Ruch Chorzów at 46% to win, while Odra Opole stands at 22%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 15% chance of occurring. Ruch Chorzów has an expected goals figure of 1.25 compared to Odra Opole's 0.78, indicating a stronger attacking performance.
However, a few factors could challenge this prediction. Both teams to score has a 40% probability, suggesting that Odra Opole could find the net. Additionally, Ruch Chorzów's recent form includes two draws, which may affect their momentum. With a confidence grade of C, the outcome remains uncertain.
Ruch Chorzów vs Odra Opole: model vs market
| Source | Ruch Chorzów | Draw | Odra Opole |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46% | 32% | 22% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 46% | 32% | 22% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.25 vs 0.78.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Ruch Chorzów and Odra Opole expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.03
- Attack rating (Ruch Chorzów / Odra Opole)
- 1.00 / 0.71
- Defence rating (Ruch Chorzów / Odra Opole)
- 0.81 / 0.79
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Ruch Chorzów vs Odra Opole score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Ruch Chorzów goals. Columns: Odra Opole goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Ruch Chorzów vs Odra Opole goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 40%
- No goals (0–0)
- 14%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Ruch Chorzów vs Odra Opole
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ruch Chorzów | 46% | 2.18 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.12 | |
| Odra Opole | 22% | 4.54 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 33% | 3.02 |
| Under 2.5 | 67% | 1.49 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40% | 2.51 |
| No | 60% | 1.66 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Ruch Chorzów or draw) | 78% | 1.28 |
| 12 (either side) | 68% | 1.47 | |
| X2 (draw or Odra Opole) | 54% | 1.85 | |
| Handicap -1 | Ruch Chorzów win by 2+ | 21% | 4.67 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Ruch Chorzów and Odra Opole recent form
Ruch Chorzów
3W 2D 1L
Odra Opole
1W 3D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Ruch Chorzów at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Odra Opole away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-2
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 0.80
- Goals against / match
- 1.20
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Ruch Chorzów at home only, Odra Opole away only.
Ruch Chorzów vs Odra Opole head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Ruch Chorzów 1 · draws 1 · Odra Opole 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Ruch Chorzów | 2-0 | Odra Opole | I Liga |
| 2025-10-24 | Odra Opole | 1-1 | Ruch Chorzów | I Liga |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
- Ruch Chorzów, previous: ŁKS Łódź – Ruch Chorzów, 2026-10-11
- Odra Opole, previous: Odra Opole – Miedz Legnica, 2026-10-11