Odra Opole vs Miedz Legnica: model vs market
| Source | Odra Opole | Draw | Miedz Legnica |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32% | 34% | 34% |
| Market | 38% | 28% | 34% |
| Published | 37% | 29% | 34% |
| Edge | -6% | +6% | 0% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.45, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update.
Odra Opole vs Miedz Legnica odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Odra Opole, 4 snapshots since 2026-10-05.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Odra Opole | 2.34 | 2.34 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.40 | 3.24 | -0.16 |
| Miedz Legnica | 2.68 | 2.64 | -0.04 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Odra Opole and Miedz Legnica expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.95
- Attack rating (Odra Opole / Miedz Legnica)
- 0.71 / 0.93
- Defence rating (Odra Opole / Miedz Legnica)
- 0.79 / 0.85
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Odra Opole vs Miedz Legnica score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Odra Opole goals. Columns: Miedz Legnica goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Odra Opole vs Miedz Legnica goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 40%
- No goals (0–0)
- 16%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Odra Opole vs Miedz Legnica
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Odra Opole | 37% | 2.72 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.41 | |
| Miedz Legnica | 34% | 2.95 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 31% | 3.24 |
| Under 2.5 | 69% | 1.45 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40% | 2.50 |
| No | 60% | 1.67 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Odra Opole or draw) | 66% | 1.51 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.41 | |
| X2 (draw or Miedz Legnica) | 63% | 1.58 | |
| Handicap -1 | Odra Opole win by 2+ | 12% | 8.15 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Odra Opole and Miedz Legnica recent form
Odra Opole
1W 3D 2L
Miedz Legnica
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Odra Opole at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-2
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 0.75
- Goals against / match
- 0.75
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
Miedz Legnica away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-1
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.67
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 3
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Odra Opole at home only, Miedz Legnica away only.
Odra Opole vs Miedz Legnica head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Odra Opole 1 · draws 0 · Miedz Legnica 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-06 | Miedz Legnica | 2-1 | Odra Opole | I Liga |
| 2025-07-28 | Odra Opole | 2-1 | Miedz Legnica | I Liga |
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