Leganes vs Cordoba preview
In the upcoming match between Leganes and Cordoba, the 1X2 probabilities show Cordoba at 45%, while Leganes stands at 28%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-2, with a 9% chance. Both teams to score has a 57% probability, and there's a 54% chance of Over 2.5 goals being scored.
Leganes comes into this match with a recent form of L-L-W-L-D-W, while Cordoba has W-L-W-L-L-L. The expected goals are 1.22 for Leganes and 1.60 for Cordoba, indicating that Cordoba may have the upper hand. However, if Leganes improves their form, they could challenge Cordoba's recent struggles.
Leganes vs Cordoba: model vs market
| Source | Leganes | Draw | Cordoba |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28% | 27% | 45% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 28% | 27% | 45% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.60 vs 1.22.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Leganes and Cordoba expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.82
- Attack rating (Leganes / Cordoba)
- 0.61 / 1.14
- Defence rating (Leganes / Cordoba)
- 1.20 / 1.37
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Leganes vs Cordoba score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Leganes goals. Columns: Cordoba goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Leganes vs Cordoba goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 57%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Leganes vs Cordoba
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Leganes | 28% | 3.58 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.71 | |
| Cordoba | 45% | 2.22 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54% | 1.86 |
| Under 2.5 | 46% | 2.16 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57% | 1.74 |
| No | 43% | 2.35 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Leganes or draw) | 55% | 1.82 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.37 | |
| X2 (draw or Cordoba) | 72% | 1.39 | |
| Handicap -1 | Cordoba win by 2+ | 24% | 4.19 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Leganes and Cordoba recent form
Leganes
2W 1D 3L
Cordoba
2W 0D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Leganes at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-1
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Cordoba away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-3
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 2.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
League matches this season before kick-off: Leganes at home only, Cordoba away only.
Leganes vs Cordoba head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Leganes 0 · draws 1 · Cordoba 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-14 | Cordoba | 2-1 | Leganes | Segunda División |
| 2025-12-07 | Leganes | 0-0 | Cordoba | Segunda División |
Before and after this match
- Leganes, previous: Almeria vs Leganes prediction
- Cordoba, previous: Eldense v Cordoba analysis