Grasshoppers vs BSC Young Boys: model vs market
| Source | Grasshoppers | Draw | BSC Young Boys |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 19% | 15% | 66% |
| Market | 21% | 20% | 60% |
| Published | 20% | 19% | 61% |
| Edge | -1% | -5% | +6% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.52 vs 2.04.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices BSC Young Boys below the model: +5.9 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.57, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update.
Grasshoppers vs BSC Young Boys odds movement
Median bookmaker price on BSC Young Boys, 4 snapshots since 2026-10-05.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grasshoppers | 4.54 | 4.50 | -0.04 |
| Draw | 4.78 | 4.70 | -0.08 |
| BSC Young Boys | 1.55 | 1.55 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Grasshoppers and BSC Young Boys expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 5.56
- Attack rating (Grasshoppers / BSC Young Boys)
- 1.03 / 1.72
- Defence rating (Grasshoppers / BSC Young Boys)
- 1.29 / 1.10
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Grasshoppers vs BSC Young Boys score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Grasshoppers goals. Columns: BSC Young Boys goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Grasshoppers vs BSC Young Boys goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 85%
- No goals (0–0)
- 1%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Grasshoppers vs BSC Young Boys
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Grasshoppers | 20% | 4.94 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.40 | |
| BSC Young Boys | 61% | 1.63 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 92% | 1.09 |
| Under 2.5 | 8% | 11.82 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 85% | 1.18 |
| No | 15% | 6.54 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Grasshoppers or draw) | 39% | 2.58 |
| 12 (either side) | 81% | 1.23 | |
| X2 (draw or BSC Young Boys) | 80% | 1.25 | |
| Handicap -1 | BSC Young Boys win by 2+ | 49% | 2.05 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Grasshoppers and BSC Young Boys recent form
Grasshoppers
2W 1D 3L
BSC Young Boys
3W 3D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Grasshoppers at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-2
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 2.75
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
BSC Young Boys away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-0
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 3.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 3.5 goals per match.
League matches this season before kick-off: Grasshoppers at home only, BSC Young Boys away only.
Grasshoppers vs BSC Young Boys head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Grasshoppers 1 · draws 2 · BSC Young Boys 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-07 | Grasshoppers | 1-1 | BSC Young Boys | Switzerland Super League |
| 2025-12-17 | BSC Young Boys | 2-6 | Grasshoppers | Switzerland Super League |
| 2025-10-30 | Grasshoppers | 3-3 | BSC Young Boys | Switzerland Super League |
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