Servette FC vs FC Sion: model vs market
| Source | Servette FC | Draw | FC Sion |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40% | 22% | 38% |
| Market | 37% | 25% | 38% |
| Published | 38% | 24% | 38% |
| Edge | +4% | -3% | -1% |
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.50, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update.
Servette FC vs FC Sion odds movement
Median bookmaker price on FC Sion, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-04.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Servette FC | 2.52 | 2.52 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.74 | 3.70 | -0.04 |
| FC Sion | 2.40 | 2.40 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Servette FC and FC Sion expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.07
- Attack rating (Servette FC / FC Sion)
- 1.14 / 1.47
- Defence rating (Servette FC / FC Sion)
- 0.85 / 1.02
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Servette FC vs FC Sion score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Servette FC goals. Columns: FC Sion goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Servette FC vs FC Sion goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 76%
- No goals (0–0)
- 2%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Servette FC vs FC Sion
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Servette FC | 38% | 2.66 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.14 | |
| FC Sion | 38% | 2.62 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77% | 1.30 |
| Under 2.5 | 23% | 4.38 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 76% | 1.31 |
| No | 24% | 4.21 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Servette FC or draw) | 62% | 1.62 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.32 | |
| X2 (draw or FC Sion) | 62% | 1.60 | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Sion win by 2+ | 21% | 4.79 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Servette FC and FC Sion recent form
Servette FC
2W 1D 3L
FC Sion
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Servette FC at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-2
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 0.75
- Goals against / match
- 1.25
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
FC Sion away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-1
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 3.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.75
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 6 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.8 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game on the road against 2.5 at home.
League matches this season before kick-off: Servette FC at home only, FC Sion away only.
Servette FC vs FC Sion head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Servette FC 1 · draws 2 · FC Sion 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | Servette FC | 0-0 | FC Sion | Switzerland Super League |
| 2026-01-31 | Servette FC | 3-3 | FC Sion | Switzerland Super League |
| 2025-09-17 | FC Sion | 0-2 | Servette FC | Switzerland Super League |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
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