Updated
Primeira Liga · Portugal · 2026/27
Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every Nacional fixture we cover — built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.
Current rank15th 7 pts · full tableForm · last 5
Next fixture · Primeira Liga
Nacional
at
Arouca
Away
18+ · T&Cs apply · best price across 6 bookmakers, each at its own last update.
2026/27 league season, 9 matches played. Straight tallies of Nacional results, three points for a win.
Month · matches played that month. Both charts share one scale.
Month · matches played that month. Both charts share one scale.
Place in the 2026/27 table after each of 9 league matches, recomputed from results.
Ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored — from played results, not an imported table. Every point is the table as it stood on that date, when other clubs may have played fewer matches, so the last point can read differently from the current table at the top of this page. Hover a point for the match.
Next 8 scheduled — a prediction page appears once a fixture enters our publication window.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Arouca (A) | AroucaOur prob 55%Best odds 1.88 | 55% | 1.88 | |
| vs Academico Viseu (H) | Academico ViseuOur prob 49% | 49% | — | |
| at Maritimo (A) | not yet published | — | — | |
| vs Benfica (H) | not yet published | — | — | |
| at Casa Pia (A) | not yet published | — | — | |
| vs Moreirense (H) | not yet published | — | — | |
| at FC Porto (A) | not yet published | — | — | |
| vs GIL Vicente (H) | not yet published | — | — |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded). Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update. 17 more fixtures scheduled later this season.
| Date · round | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 17 October 2026 Round of 64 |
at Sanjoanense | 0–1 loss |
Last 2 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs SC Braga (H)Our pick SC Braga · 59% | SC Braga to win | 59% | 1–0 | Missed | |
| at Sanjoanense (A)Our pick Nacional · 54% | Nacional to win | 54% | 0–1 | Missed |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result. Scores are Nacional’s goals first; H/A = home/away.
Nacional at home Nacional awayLeague matches this season only: Nacional at home in the left column, away in the right.