Updated

Tunisia Ligue 1 · Matchday 6

Club Africain vs CA Bizertin

· Stade Olympique Hammadi Agrebi

Alin prediction Club Africain to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 1 – 0

23% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Club AfricainDrawCA Bizertin

Club Africain vs CA Bizertin preview

In the upcoming match between Club Africain and CA Bizertin, the 1X2 probabilities show Club Africain at 62% to win, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0 at 23%. Club Africain's recent form includes 4 wins in their last 6 matches, while CA Bizertin has only 2 wins in the same period.

The expected goals indicate Club Africain at 1.40 and CA Bizertin at just 0.37, suggesting a low-scoring game. However, the low probabilities for Over 2.5 goals at 26% and both teams to score at 24% imply that if CA Bizertin can improve their attack, they might disrupt the expected outcome.

Club Africain vs CA Bizertin: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceClub AfricainDrawCA Bizertin
Model62%29%9%
Market———
Published62%29%9%
Edge———
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.40 vs 0.37.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Club Africain and CA Bizertin expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.40Club Africain
0.37CA Bizertin
Total expected goals
1.77
Attack rating (Club Africain / CA Bizertin)
1.37 / 0.71
Defence rating (Club Africain / CA Bizertin)
0.74 / 0.97

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Club Africain vs CA Bizertin score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 18.0% 5.5% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 1 22.9% 9.8% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 2 16.6% 6.2% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 3 7.7% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 4+ 3.7% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%

Rows: Club Africain goals. Columns: CA Bizertin goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Club Africain vs CA Bizertin goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 82%
Over 1.5 54%
Over 2.5 26%
Over 3.5 10%
Both teams to score
24%
No goals (0–0)
18%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Club Africain vs CA Bizertin

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Club Africain62%1.61
Draw29%3.46
CA Bizertin9%11.29
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.526%3.83
Under 2.574%1.35
Both teams to scoreYes24%4.12
No76%1.32
Double chance1X (Club Africain or draw)91%1.10
12 (either side)71%1.41
X2 (draw or CA Bizertin)38%2.65
Handicap -1Club Africain win by 2+33%3.07
Push (exactly one goal)30%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

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Club Africain and CA Bizertin recent form

Club Africain 4W 1D 1L
CA Bizertin 2W 2D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Club Africain at home

Record (W-D-L)
2-0-0
Win rate
100%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
0.00
Clean sheets
2 of 2

CA Bizertin away

Record (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Win rate
50%
Goals for / match
0.50
Goals against / match
1.00
Clean sheets
1 of 2

League matches this season before kick-off: Club Africain at home only, CA Bizertin away only.

Club Africain vs CA Bizertin head-to-head

Last 1 meetings: Club Africain 1 · draws 0 · CA Bizertin 0.

Club AfricainDrawsCA Bizertin
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-01-31Club Africain1-0CA BizertinTunisia Ligue 1

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Club Africain to win Predicted score 1 – 0 C Bet on Club Africain