Lask Linz vs Red Bull Salzburg preview
In the upcoming match between Lask Linz and Red Bull Salzburg, the 1X2 probabilities indicate a 41% chance for Lask Linz to win, while Red Bull Salzburg has a 35% chance. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 7% probability. Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals are both at 72%, suggesting a high-scoring encounter.
Lask Linz's recent form shows 2 wins and 4 losses, while Red Bull Salzburg has 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 6 matches. The expected goals are 1.74 for Lask Linz and 2.01 for Red Bull Salzburg, which could lead to a tight match. However, Lask Linz's inconsistency could challenge their chances against a stronger Salzburg side.
Lask Linz vs Red Bull Salzburg: model vs market
| Source | Lask Linz | Draw | Red Bull Salzburg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34% | 23% | 43% |
| Market | 43% | 25% | 33% |
| Published | 40% | 24% | 36% |
| Edge | -9% | -2% | +10% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.25, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update.
Lask Linz vs Red Bull Salzburg odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Lask Linz, 17 snapshots since 2026-10-11.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lask Linz | 2.20 | 2.17 | -0.03 |
| Draw | 3.75 | 3.76 | +0.01 |
| Red Bull Salzburg | 2.80 | 2.80 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Lask Linz and Red Bull Salzburg expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.73
- Attack rating (Lask Linz / Red Bull Salzburg)
- 1.70 / 1.32
- Defence rating (Lask Linz / Red Bull Salzburg)
- 1.18 / 0.67
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Lask Linz vs Red Bull Salzburg score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Lask Linz goals. Columns: Red Bull Salzburg goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Lask Linz vs Red Bull Salzburg goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 72%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Lask Linz vs Red Bull Salzburg
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lask Linz | 40% | 2.48 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.14 | |
| Red Bull Salzburg | 36% | 2.81 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72% | 1.39 |
| Under 2.5 | 28% | 3.58 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72% | 1.39 |
| No | 28% | 3.58 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Lask Linz or draw) | 64% | 1.55 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.32 | |
| X2 (draw or Red Bull Salzburg) | 60% | 1.68 | |
| Handicap -1 | Lask Linz win by 2+ | 17% | 5.73 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Lask Linz and Red Bull Salzburg recent form
Lask Linz
1W 1D 4L
Red Bull Salzburg
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Lask Linz at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-1
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 2.50
- Goals against / match
- 0.75
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Red Bull Salzburg away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-3-0
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 3.2 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Lask Linz at home only, Red Bull Salzburg away only.
Lask Linz vs Red Bull Salzburg head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Lask Linz 2 · draws 0 · Red Bull Salzburg 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Lask Linz | 2-1 | Red Bull Salzburg | Austria Bundesliga |
| 2026-04-10 | Red Bull Salzburg | 2-3 | Lask Linz | Austria Bundesliga |
| 2026-02-22 | Lask Linz | 1-5 | Red Bull Salzburg | Austria Bundesliga |
| 2025-08-23 | Red Bull Salzburg | 3-0 | Lask Linz | Austria Bundesliga |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- SCR Altach v Austria Vienna — match page 2026-10-23
- WSG Wattens vs Grazer AK 2026-10-24
- Rapid Vienna vs Austria Lustenau 2026-10-24
- Sturm Graz vs Ried — team news & stats 2026-10-25
- TSV Hartberg vs Wolfsberger AC — team news & stats 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- Lask Linz, previous: Sporting CP v Lask Linz analysis
- Lask Linz, next: Lask Linz vs Ried prediction
- Red Bull Salzburg, previous: Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg: odds and pick
- Red Bull Salzburg, next: Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz – Red Bull Salzburg, 2026-10-28