WSG Wattens vs Grazer AK preview
In the matchup between WSG Wattens and Grazer AK, the 1X2 probabilities show WSG Wattens at 38%, Grazer AK at 35%, and a draw at 27%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% chance according to our model. Both teams have shown mixed recent form, with WSG Wattens winning 3 of their last 6 matches, while Grazer AK has 2 wins in their last 6.
The expected goals indicate WSG Wattens at 1.60 and Grazer AK at 1.28. With 55% for Over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, there is potential for an exciting match. However, if either team fails to convert chances or if the defenses hold strong, the outcome could differ from the predictions.
WSG Wattens vs Grazer AK: model vs market
| Source | WSG Wattens | Draw | Grazer AK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 60% | 22% | 18% |
| Market | 36% | 28% | 36% |
| Published | 42% | 26% | 32% |
| Edge | +24% | -6% | -18% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.20 vs 1.15.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices WSG Wattens below the model: +24.3 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.70, recorded — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update.
WSG Wattens vs Grazer AK odds movement
Median bookmaker price on WSG Wattens, 17 snapshots since 2026-10-11.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| WSG Wattens | 2.59 | 2.56 | -0.03 |
| Draw | 3.33 | 3.35 | +0.02 |
| Grazer AK | 2.50 | 2.53 | +0.03 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
WSG Wattens and Grazer AK expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.36
- Attack rating (WSG Wattens / Grazer AK)
- 1.13 / 0.94
- Defence rating (WSG Wattens / Grazer AK)
- 0.97 / 1.27
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
WSG Wattens vs Grazer AK score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: WSG Wattens goals. Columns: Grazer AK goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
WSG Wattens vs Grazer AK goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 62%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for WSG Wattens vs Grazer AK
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | WSG Wattens | 42% | 2.38 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.84 | |
| Grazer AK | 32% | 3.14 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65% | 1.53 |
| Under 2.5 | 35% | 2.88 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62% | 1.62 |
| No | 38% | 2.62 | |
| Double chance | 1X (WSG Wattens or draw) | 68% | 1.47 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| X2 (draw or Grazer AK) | 58% | 1.73 | |
| Handicap -1 | WSG Wattens win by 2+ | 39% | 2.59 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
WSG Wattens and Grazer AK recent form
WSG Wattens
3W 1D 2L
Grazer AK
2W 3D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
WSG Wattens at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-2
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Grazer AK away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-4
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 0.60
- Goals against / match
- 3.80
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 8 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: WSG Wattens at home only, Grazer AK away only.
WSG Wattens vs Grazer AK head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: WSG Wattens 1 · draws 1 · Grazer AK 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Grazer AK | 4-0 | WSG Wattens | Austria Bundesliga |
| 2026-03-21 | WSG Wattens | 1-5 | Grazer AK | Austria Bundesliga |
| 2026-03-08 | WSG Wattens | 2-0 | Grazer AK | Austria Bundesliga |
| 2025-08-16 | Grazer AK | 1-1 | WSG Wattens | Austria Bundesliga |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- SCR Altach v Austria Vienna — match page 2026-10-23
- Rapid Vienna vs Austria Lustenau 2026-10-24
- Sturm Graz vs Ried — team news & stats 2026-10-25
- TSV Hartberg vs Wolfsberger AC — team news & stats 2026-10-25
- Lask Linz v Red Bull Salzburg — match page 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- WSG Wattens, previous: Wolfsberger AC – WSG Wattens, 2026-10-18
- WSG Wattens, next: Wacker Innsbruck – WSG Wattens, 2026-10-28
- Grazer AK, previous: Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK: odds and pick
- Grazer AK, next: Grazer AK vs SCR Altach: odds and pick