Grazer AK vs SCR Altach preview
In the Austria Cup fixture between Grazer AK and SCR Altach, the 1X2 probabilities show SCR Altach at 64% to win, compared to Grazer AK's 12%. The most likely scoreline is 0-2, which has a 13% probability. Grazer AK has an expected goals figure of 0.71, while SCR Altach stands at 1.88, indicating a significant attacking advantage for the visitors.
However, both teams have mixed recent form, with Grazer AK drawing their last three matches and SCR Altach losing their last three. The probabilities for Over 2.5 goals sit at 48% and for both teams to score at 44%, suggesting uncertainty in goal-scoring potential. This could lead to different outcomes than expected based on the statistics.
Grazer AK vs SCR Altach: model vs market
| Source | Grazer AK | Draw | SCR Altach |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 12% | 23% | 64% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 12% | 23% | 64% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.88 vs 0.71.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Grazer AK and SCR Altach expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.59
- Attack rating (Grazer AK / SCR Altach)
- 0.76 / 0.91
- Defence rating (Grazer AK / SCR Altach)
- 0.76 / 0.81
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Grazer AK vs SCR Altach score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Grazer AK goals. Columns: SCR Altach goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Grazer AK vs SCR Altach goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 44%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Grazer AK vs SCR Altach
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Grazer AK | 12% | 8.02 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.27 | |
| SCR Altach | 64% | 1.56 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48% | 2.09 |
| Under 2.5 | 52% | 1.92 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44% | 2.26 |
| No | 56% | 1.79 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Grazer AK or draw) | 36% | 2.79 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.31 | |
| X2 (draw or SCR Altach) | 88% | 1.14 | |
| Handicap -1 | SCR Altach win by 2+ | 39% | 2.55 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 | First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 | 100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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| 4 | 200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Grazer AK and SCR Altach recent form
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
SCR Altach away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 1
League matches this season before kick-off: Grazer AK at home only, SCR Altach away only.
Grazer AK vs SCR Altach head-to-head
Last 9 meetings: Grazer AK 4 · draws 4 · SCR Altach 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | SCR Altach | 1-2 | Grazer AK | Austria Bundesliga |
| 2026-05-09 | Grazer AK | 2-2 | SCR Altach | Austria Bundesliga |
| 2026-04-11 | SCR Altach | 1-0 | Grazer AK | Austria Bundesliga |
| 2025-11-01 | Grazer AK | 3-1 | SCR Altach | Austria Bundesliga |
| 2025-08-24 | SCR Altach | 1-1 | Grazer AK | Austria Bundesliga |
| 2025-05-10 | SCR Altach | 2-2 | Grazer AK | Bundesliga |
| 2025-04-12 | Grazer AK | 1-0 | SCR Altach | Bundesliga |
| 2025-02-08 | SCR Altach | 1-2 | Grazer AK | Bundesliga |
| 2024-09-15 | Grazer AK | 1-1 | SCR Altach | Bundesliga |
Other Round of 16 fixtures
- Austria Vienna v TSV Hartberg — match page 2026-10-27
- First Vienna vs Rapid Vienna 2026-10-27
- WSPG Wels vs Wolfsberger AC — team news & stats 2026-10-27
Before and after this match
- Grazer AK, previous: Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK: odds and pick
- SCR Altach, previous: Red Bull Salzburg v SCR Altach analysis
