Updated

Austria Cup · Round of 16

Grazer AK vs SCR Altach

· Merkur-Arena, Graz

Alin prediction SCR Altach to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 0 – 2

13% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Grazer AKDrawSCR Altach

Grazer AK vs SCR Altach preview

In the Austria Cup fixture between Grazer AK and SCR Altach, the 1X2 probabilities show SCR Altach at 64% to win, compared to Grazer AK's 12%. The most likely scoreline is 0-2, which has a 13% probability. Grazer AK has an expected goals figure of 0.71, while SCR Altach stands at 1.88, indicating a significant attacking advantage for the visitors.

However, both teams have mixed recent form, with Grazer AK drawing their last three matches and SCR Altach losing their last three. The probabilities for Over 2.5 goals sit at 48% and for both teams to score at 44%, suggesting uncertainty in goal-scoring potential. This could lead to different outcomes than expected based on the statistics.

Grazer AK vs SCR Altach: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceGrazer AKDrawSCR Altach
Model12%23%64%
Market———
Published12%23%64%
Edge———
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.88 vs 0.71.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Grazer AK and SCR Altach expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

0.71Grazer AK
1.88SCR Altach
Total expected goals
2.59
Attack rating (Grazer AK / SCR Altach)
0.76 / 0.91
Defence rating (Grazer AK / SCR Altach)
0.76 / 0.81

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Grazer AK vs SCR Altach score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 8.5% 13.1% 13.2% 8.3% 6.0% 1 4.3% 11.0% 9.4% 5.9% 4.2% 2 1.9% 3.6% 3.4% 2.1% 1.5% 3 0.5% 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.4% 4+ 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Rows: Grazer AK goals. Columns: SCR Altach goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Grazer AK vs SCR Altach goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 92%
Over 1.5 74%
Over 2.5 48%
Over 3.5 26%
Both teams to score
44%
No goals (0–0)
8%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Grazer AK vs SCR Altach

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Grazer AK12%8.02
Draw23%4.27
SCR Altach64%1.56
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.548%2.09
Under 2.552%1.92
Both teams to scoreYes44%2.26
No56%1.79
Double chance1X (Grazer AK or draw)36%2.79
12 (either side)77%1.31
X2 (draw or SCR Altach)88%1.14
Handicap -1SCR Altach win by 2+39%2.55
Push (exactly one goal)25%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

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Grazer AK and SCR Altach recent form

Grazer AK 2W 3D 1L
SCR Altach 2W 0D 4L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

SCR Altach away

Record (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Win rate
100%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
0.00
Clean sheets
1 of 1

League matches this season before kick-off: Grazer AK at home only, SCR Altach away only.

Grazer AK vs SCR Altach head-to-head

Last 9 meetings: Grazer AK 4 · draws 4 · SCR Altach 1.

Grazer AKDrawsSCR Altach
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-09-12SCR Altach1-2Grazer AKAustria Bundesliga
2026-05-09Grazer AK2-2SCR AltachAustria Bundesliga
2026-04-11SCR Altach1-0Grazer AKAustria Bundesliga
2025-11-01Grazer AK3-1SCR AltachAustria Bundesliga
2025-08-24SCR Altach1-1Grazer AKAustria Bundesliga
2025-05-10SCR Altach2-2Grazer AKBundesliga
2025-04-12Grazer AK1-0SCR AltachBundesliga
2025-02-08SCR Altach1-2Grazer AKBundesliga
2024-09-15Grazer AK1-1SCR AltachBundesliga

Other Round of 16 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot SCR Altach to win Predicted score 0 – 2 C Bet on SCR Altach