First Vienna vs Rapid Vienna Prediction & Betting Tips 27/10/2026

First Vienna vs Rapid Vienna preview

In the Austria Cup fixture between First Vienna and Rapid Vienna, the 1X2 probabilities show Rapid Vienna at 64%, compared to First Vienna's 13%. The most likely scoreline is 0-2, with a 12% chance of occurring. Rapid Vienna's expected goals stand at 1.97, while First Vienna's is only 0.78.

Both teams to score has a 48% likelihood, suggesting a close match, while Over 2.5 goals is at 52%. First Vienna has been in strong recent form with 6 consecutive wins, but Rapid Vienna's last match ended in a loss, which could impact their performance. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.

First Vienna vs Rapid Vienna: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	First Vienna	Draw	Rapid Vienna
Model	13%	23%	64%
Market	—	—	—
Published	13%	23%	64%
Edge	—	—	—

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.97 vs 0.78.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

First Vienna and Rapid Vienna expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

0.78First Vienna

1.97Rapid Vienna

Total expected goals: 2.75
Attack rating (First Vienna / Rapid Vienna): 1.05 / 1.39
Defence rating (First Vienna / Rapid Vienna): 0.52 / 0.64

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

First Vienna vs Rapid Vienna score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 7.4% 11.6% 12.4% 8.1% 6.2% 1 4.0% 10.8% 9.7% 6.3% 4.9% 2 2.0% 3.9% 3.8% 2.5% 1.9% 3 0.5% 1.0% 1.0% 0.6% 0.5% 4+ 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%

Rows: First Vienna goals. Columns: Rapid Vienna goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

First Vienna vs Rapid Vienna goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 93%

Over 1.5 77%

Over 2.5 52%

Over 3.5 30%

Both teams to score: 48%
No goals (0–0): 7%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for First Vienna vs Rapid Vienna

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	First Vienna	13%	7.63
	Draw	23%	4.40
	Rapid Vienna	64%	1.56
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	52%	1.93
	Under 2.5	48%	2.08
Both teams to score	Yes	48%	2.10
	No	52%	1.91
Double chance	1X (First Vienna or draw)	36%	2.79
	12 (either side)	77%	1.29
	X2 (draw or Rapid Vienna)	87%	1.15
Handicap -1	Rapid Vienna win by 2+	40%	2.50
	Push (exactly one goal)	24%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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