Austria Vienna vs Rapid Vienna preview
In the Austria Bundesliga fixture between Austria Vienna and Rapid Vienna, the 1X2 probabilities show Rapid Vienna at 61% to win, with a most likely scoreline of 1-2 at 8%. Austria Vienna's expected goals stand at 1.21, while Rapid Vienna has a significantly higher expected goals figure of 2.85.
While Rapid Vienna's strong recent form features 6 consecutive wins, Austria Vienna has struggled with 3 losses in their last 4 matches. The model predicts a high chance of Over 2.5 goals at 77% and both teams to score at 67%. However, Austria Vienna's past head-to-head record of 3 wins against Rapid Vienna could influence the outcome.
Austria Vienna vs Rapid Vienna: model vs market
| Source | Austria Vienna | Draw | Rapid Vienna |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 13% | 16% | 71% |
| Market | 20% | 23% | 58% |
| Published | 18% | 21% | 61% |
| Edge | -2% | -2% | +3% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.86 vs 1.21.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Rapid Vienna below our published probability: +3.3 percentage points of edge.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.68, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +2.6% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Austria Vienna vs Rapid Vienna odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Rapid Vienna, 8 snapshots since 2026-10-23.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Austria Vienna | 4.72 | 4.75 | +0.03 |
| Draw | 4.12 | 4.15 | +0.03 |
| Rapid Vienna | 1.62 | 1.62 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Austria Vienna and Rapid Vienna expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.07
- Attack rating (Austria Vienna / Rapid Vienna)
- 1.00 / 1.92
- Defence rating (Austria Vienna / Rapid Vienna)
- 1.17 / 0.78
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Austria Vienna vs Rapid Vienna score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Austria Vienna goals. Columns: Rapid Vienna goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Austria Vienna vs Rapid Vienna goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 67%
- No goals (0–0)
- 2%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Austria Vienna vs Rapid Vienna
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Austria Vienna | 18% | 5.57 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.76 | |
| Rapid Vienna | 61% | 1.64 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77% | 1.30 |
| Under 2.5 | 23% | 4.37 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67% | 1.50 |
| No | 33% | 3.00 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Austria Vienna or draw) | 39% | 2.57 |
| 12 (either side) | 79% | 1.27 | |
| X2 (draw or Rapid Vienna) | 82% | 1.22 | |
| Handicap -1 | Rapid Vienna win by 2+ | 52% | 1.94 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Austria Vienna and Rapid Vienna recent form
Austria Vienna
2W 1D 3L
Rapid Vienna
6W 0D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Austria Vienna at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-3
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 0.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
- 69% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Rapid Vienna away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-1
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 8 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.9 goals per match.
- They average 3.6 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Austria Vienna at home only, Rapid Vienna away only.
Austria Vienna vs Rapid Vienna head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Austria Vienna 3 · draws 1 · Rapid Vienna 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Rapid Vienna | 0-2 | Austria Vienna | Austria Bundesliga |
| 2026-04-12 | Austria Vienna | 1-1 | Rapid Vienna | Austria Bundesliga |
| 2026-02-15 | Austria Vienna | 2-0 | Rapid Vienna | Austria Bundesliga |
| 2025-09-28 | Rapid Vienna | 1-3 | Austria Vienna | Austria Bundesliga |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
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- Lask Linz vs WSG Wattens — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Red Bull Salzburg v Austria Lustenau — match page 2026-11-01
- Wolfsberger AC v Sturm Graz — match page 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Austria Vienna, previous: Austria Vienna vs TSV Hartberg: odds and pick
- Rapid Vienna, previous: First Vienna vs Rapid Vienna prediction