SCR Altach vs Ried preview
In the upcoming match between SCR Altach and Ried, the 1X2 probabilities show SCR Altach at 39%, Ried at 35%, and a draw at 26%. The most likely scoreline according to our model is 2-1, with an 8% chance. Both teams have shown strong attacking potential, with expected goals of 1.81 for SCR Altach and 1.90 for Ried.
Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals are both at 72%, indicating a high likelihood of an entertaining match. However, the recent form could influence the outcome, as SCR Altach has two wins and three losses in their last five matches, while Ried has three wins, one draw, and one loss. This inconsistency could lead to a different result than predicted.
SCR Altach vs Ried: model vs market
| Source | SCR Altach | Draw | Ried |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37% | 23% | 40% |
| Market | 44% | 26% | 31% |
| Published | 42% | 25% | 33% |
| Edge | -2% | -1% | +2% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.30, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -3.4% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
SCR Altach vs Ried odds movement
Median bookmaker price on SCR Altach, 8 snapshots since 2026-10-23.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| SCR Altach | 2.31 | 2.13 | -0.17 |
| Draw | 3.51 | 3.60 | +0.09 |
| Ried | 2.80 | 3.05 | +0.25 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
SCR Altach and Ried expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.76
- Attack rating (SCR Altach / Ried)
- 1.09 / 1.46
- Defence rating (SCR Altach / Ried)
- 1.03 / 1.10
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
SCR Altach vs Ried score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: SCR Altach goals. Columns: Ried goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
SCR Altach vs Ried goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 73%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for SCR Altach vs Ried
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SCR Altach | 42% | 2.38 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.97 | |
| Ried | 33% | 3.04 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72% | 1.38 |
| Under 2.5 | 28% | 3.63 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73% | 1.38 |
| No | 27% | 3.65 | |
| Double chance | 1X (SCR Altach or draw) | 67% | 1.49 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or Ried) | 58% | 1.72 | |
| Handicap -1 | SCR Altach win by 2+ | 20% | 4.99 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 | 100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
SCR Altach and Ried recent form
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
SCR Altach at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-2
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.20
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 9 matches.
Ried away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-2
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.60
- Goals against / match
- 2.20
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: SCR Altach at home only, Ried away only.
SCR Altach vs Ried head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: SCR Altach 2 · draws 0 · Ried 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | SCR Altach | 2-0 | Ried | Austria Bundesliga |
| 2026-04-03 | Ried | 3-2 | SCR Altach | Austria Bundesliga |
| 2025-12-13 | Ried | 3-0 | SCR Altach | Austria Bundesliga |
| 2025-08-09 | SCR Altach | 1-0 | Ried | Austria Bundesliga |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Grazer AK vs TSV Hartberg 2026-10-30
- Lask Linz vs WSG Wattens — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Red Bull Salzburg v Austria Lustenau — match page 2026-11-01
- Wolfsberger AC v Sturm Graz — match page 2026-11-01
- Austria Vienna vs Rapid Vienna — team news & stats 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- SCR Altach, previous: Grazer AK vs SCR Altach: odds and pick
- Ried, previous: Lask Linz vs Ried prediction