Updated

Austria Bundesliga · Matchday 11

SCR Altach vs Ried

· Cashpoint-Arena, Altach

Alin prediction SCR Altach to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 2 – 1

8% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
SCR AltachDrawRied
  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — SCR Altach is the favourite, not a value bet.
Best market odds
SCR Altach2.30 Draw3.72 Ried3.20

Price as of

Expected return at 2.30: -3.4% per unit staked

SCR Altach vs Ried preview

In the upcoming match between SCR Altach and Ried, the 1X2 probabilities show SCR Altach at 39%, Ried at 35%, and a draw at 26%. The most likely scoreline according to our model is 2-1, with an 8% chance. Both teams have shown strong attacking potential, with expected goals of 1.81 for SCR Altach and 1.90 for Ried.

Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals are both at 72%, indicating a high likelihood of an entertaining match. However, the recent form could influence the outcome, as SCR Altach has two wins and three losses in their last five matches, while Ried has three wins, one draw, and one loss. This inconsistency could lead to a different result than predicted.

SCR Altach vs Ried: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceSCR AltachDrawRied
Model37%23%40%
Market44%26%31%
Published42%25%33%
Edge-2%-1%+2%

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.30, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -3.4% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).

SCR Altach vs Ried odds movement

Median bookmaker price on SCR Altach, 8 snapshots since 2026-10-23.

Opened 2.31Now 2.13 -0.17
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
SCR Altach2.312.13-0.17
Draw3.513.60+0.09
Ried2.803.05+0.25

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

SCR Altach and Ried expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.85SCR Altach
1.91Ried
Total expected goals
3.76
Attack rating (SCR Altach / Ried)
1.09 / 1.46
Defence rating (SCR Altach / Ried)
1.03 / 1.10

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

SCR Altach vs Ried score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 3.1% 3.6% 4.3% 2.7% 2.0% 1 3.5% 9.0% 7.9% 5.0% 3.7% 2 4.0% 7.6% 7.3% 4.6% 3.4% 3 2.4% 4.7% 4.5% 2.9% 2.1% 4+ 1.7% 3.3% 3.1% 2.0% 1.5%

Rows: SCR Altach goals. Columns: Ried goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

SCR Altach vs Ried goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 97%
Over 1.5 90%
Over 2.5 72%
Over 3.5 52%
Both teams to score
73%
No goals (0–0)
3%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for SCR Altach vs Ried

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2SCR Altach42%2.38
Draw25%3.97
Ried33%3.04
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.572%1.38
Under 2.528%3.63
Both teams to scoreYes73%1.38
No27%3.65
Double chance1X (SCR Altach or draw)67%1.49
12 (either side)75%1.34
X2 (draw or Ried)58%1.72
Handicap -1SCR Altach win by 2+20%4.99
Push (exactly one goal)17%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

All betting sites
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SCR Altach and Ried recent form

SCR Altach 3W 0D 3L
Ried 4W 2D 0L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

SCR Altach at home

Record (W-D-L)
3-0-2
Win rate
60%
Goals for / match
2.00
Goals against / match
1.20
Clean sheets
1 of 5
  • They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 9 matches.

Ried away

Record (W-D-L)
1-2-2
Win rate
20%
Goals for / match
1.60
Goals against / match
2.20
Clean sheets
0 of 5
  • They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
  • 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: SCR Altach at home only, Ried away only.

SCR Altach vs Ried head-to-head

Last 4 meetings: SCR Altach 2 · draws 0 · Ried 2.

SCR AltachDrawsRied
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-05-16SCR Altach2-0RiedAustria Bundesliga
2026-04-03Ried3-2SCR AltachAustria Bundesliga
2025-12-13Ried3-0SCR AltachAustria Bundesliga
2025-08-09SCR Altach1-0RiedAustria Bundesliga

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot SCR Altach to win Predicted score 2 – 1 C Bet on SCR Altach