TSV Hartberg vs SCR Altach preview
In the match between TSV Hartberg and SCR Altach, the 1X2 probabilities show TSV Hartberg at 38% and SCR Altach at 36%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which has a 9% chance of occurring. Both teams have shown competitive recent form, but TSV Hartberg has a slight edge with 2 wins in their last 3 matches compared to SCR Altach's 2 wins in the same period.
The model indicates a strong likelihood of Over 2.5 goals at 66% and both teams to score at 67%. However, the match could deviate from these predictions if either team struggles to convert chances or if defensive errors occur. The expected goals are 1.89 for TSV Hartberg and 1.52 for SCR Altach, suggesting a potentially high-scoring affair.
TSV Hartberg vs SCR Altach: model vs market
| Source | TSV Hartberg | Draw | SCR Altach |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45% | 24% | 30% |
| Market | 38% | 27% | 35% |
| Published | 40% | 27% | 34% |
| Edge | +2% | -1% | -1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.89 vs 1.53.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.50, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -0.4% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
TSV Hartberg vs SCR Altach odds movement
Median bookmaker price on TSV Hartberg, 16 snapshots since 2026-10-30.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| TSV Hartberg | 2.47 | 2.46 | -0.01 |
| Draw | 3.48 | 3.42 | -0.06 |
| SCR Altach | 2.61 | 2.70 | +0.09 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
TSV Hartberg and SCR Altach expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.42
- Attack rating (TSV Hartberg / SCR Altach)
- 1.41 / 1.19
- Defence rating (TSV Hartberg / SCR Altach)
- 1.00 / 0.87
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
TSV Hartberg vs SCR Altach score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: TSV Hartberg goals. Columns: SCR Altach goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
TSV Hartberg vs SCR Altach goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 67%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for TSV Hartberg vs SCR Altach
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | TSV Hartberg | 40% | 2.51 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.77 | |
| SCR Altach | 34% | 2.97 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66% | 1.51 |
| Under 2.5 | 34% | 2.98 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67% | 1.48 |
| No | 33% | 3.07 | |
| Double chance | 1X (TSV Hartberg or draw) | 66% | 1.51 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.36 | |
| X2 (draw or SCR Altach) | 60% | 1.66 | |
| Handicap -1 | TSV Hartberg win by 2+ | 26% | 3.89 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
TSV Hartberg and SCR Altach recent form
TSV Hartberg
3W 2D 1L
SCR Altach
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
TSV Hartberg at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-2
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.83
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
SCR Altach away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-5
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 10 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: TSV Hartberg at home only, SCR Altach away only.
TSV Hartberg vs SCR Altach head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: TSV Hartberg 1 · draws 2 · SCR Altach 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | SCR Altach | 1-2 | TSV Hartberg | Austria Bundesliga |
| 2026-02-14 | TSV Hartberg | 0-0 | SCR Altach | Austria Bundesliga |
| 2025-10-25 | SCR Altach | 2-2 | TSV Hartberg | Austria Bundesliga |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Rapid Vienna vs Wolfsberger AC — team news & stats 2026-11-06
- Austria Lustenau vs Grazer AK 2026-11-07
- Ried vs Lask Linz 2026-11-07
- WSG Wattens vs Austria Vienna — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Sturm Graz v Red Bull Salzburg — match page 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- TSV Hartberg, previous: Grazer AK vs TSV Hartberg: odds and pick
- SCR Altach, previous: SCR Altach vs Ried prediction