Updated

Austria Bundesliga · Matchday 12

Rapid Vienna vs Wolfsberger AC

· Allianz Stadion, Vienna· Referee Safak Barmaksiz

Alin prediction Rapid Vienna to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 3 – 0

13% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Rapid ViennaDrawWolfsberger AC
  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.39 vs 0.56.
  • RiskGrade C: weaker evidence — both clubs are rated on goals scored and conceded, not on the chances they created.
Best market odds
Rapid Vienna1.23 Draw7.74 Wolfsberger AC13.00

Price as of

Expected return at 1.23: -0.8% per unit staked

Rapid Vienna vs Wolfsberger AC preview

In the Austria Bundesliga fixture between Rapid Vienna and Wolfsberger AC, the 1X2 probabilities show Rapid Vienna at 78%, while Wolfsberger AC sits at 8%. The most likely scoreline from our model is 3-0, which aligns with an expected goals figure of 3.39 for Rapid Vienna compared to just 0.56 for Wolfsberger AC.

While Rapid Vienna's recent form is strong with 6 consecutive wins, Wolfsberger AC has struggled, recording 6 games without a win, including 5 losses. This could affect the likelihood of Over 2.5 goals, which our model predicts at 75%. However, the chance of both teams to score is only 42%, indicating that Wolfsberger AC may struggle to find the net.

Rapid Vienna vs Wolfsberger AC: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceRapid ViennaDrawWolfsberger AC
Model89%8%3%
Market78%14%8%
Published81%12%7%
Edge+3%-1%-1%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.39 vs 0.56.
  • Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Rapid Vienna below our published probability: +2.7 percentage points of edge.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.23, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -0.8% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).

Rapid Vienna vs Wolfsberger AC odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Rapid Vienna, 16 snapshots since 2026-10-30.

Opened 1.19Now 1.21 +0.02
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Rapid Vienna1.191.21+0.02
Draw6.606.95+0.35
Wolfsberger AC12.6011.14-1.46

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Rapid Vienna and Wolfsberger AC expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

3.39Rapid Vienna
0.56Wolfsberger AC
Total expected goals
3.94
Attack rating (Rapid Vienna / Wolfsberger AC)
1.84 / 0.65
Defence rating (Rapid Vienna / Wolfsberger AC)
0.67 / 1.19

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Rapid Vienna vs Wolfsberger AC score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 2.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 1 6.2% 4.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 2 11.1% 6.2% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 3 12.6% 7.0% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 4+ 25.1% 14.0% 3.9% 0.7% 0.1%

Rows: Rapid Vienna goals. Columns: Wolfsberger AC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Rapid Vienna vs Wolfsberger AC goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 98%
Over 1.5 91%
Over 2.5 75%
Over 3.5 55%
Both teams to score
42%
No goals (0–0)
2%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Rapid Vienna vs Wolfsberger AC

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Rapid Vienna81%1.24
Draw12%8.14
Wolfsberger AC7%14.22
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.575%1.33
Under 2.525%4.05
Both teams to scoreYes42%2.41
No58%1.71
Double chance1X (Rapid Vienna or draw)93%1.08
12 (either side)88%1.14
X2 (draw or Wolfsberger AC)19%5.17
Handicap -1Rapid Vienna win by 2+74%1.35
Push (exactly one goal)15%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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Rapid Vienna and Wolfsberger AC recent form

Rapid Vienna 6W 0D 0L
Wolfsberger AC 0W 1D 5L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Rapid Vienna at home

Record (W-D-L)
6-0-0
Win rate
100%
Goals for / match
3.83
Goals against / match
0.50
Clean sheets
3 of 6
  • They have won 10 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 3.0 goals per match.
  • They average 3.8 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 11 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Wolfsberger AC away

Record (W-D-L)
0-1-4
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
0.40
Goals against / match
2.00
Clean sheets
1 of 5
  • They have won 1 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 11 matches.

League matches this season before kick-off: Rapid Vienna at home only, Wolfsberger AC away only.

Rapid Vienna vs Wolfsberger AC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: Rapid Vienna 5 · draws 2 · Wolfsberger AC 3.

Rapid ViennaDrawsWolfsberger AC
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-09-12Wolfsberger AC0-3Rapid ViennaAustria Bundesliga
2026-02-21Rapid Vienna2-0Wolfsberger ACAustria Bundesliga
2025-08-24Wolfsberger AC1-2Rapid ViennaAustria Bundesliga
2025-05-04Rapid Vienna0-1Wolfsberger ACBundesliga
2025-04-20Wolfsberger AC5-1Rapid ViennaBundesliga
2025-02-08Rapid Vienna1-3Wolfsberger ACBundesliga
2024-09-14Wolfsberger AC1-1Rapid ViennaBundesliga
2024-02-11Wolfsberger AC0-2Rapid ViennaBundesliga
2023-09-17Rapid Vienna3-3Wolfsberger ACBundesliga
2023-02-26Wolfsberger AC1-2Rapid ViennaBundesliga

Other Matchday 12 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Rapid Vienna to win Predicted score 3 – 0 C Bet on Rapid Vienna