Ried vs Lask Linz preview
In the upcoming match between Ried and Lask Linz, the 1X2 probabilities show Lask Linz at 55% and Ried at 26%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-3, with a high chance of Over 2.5 goals at 94% and both teams to score at 90%. Ried's expected goals stand at 3.24, while Lask Linz has 2.70.
Ried's recent form includes 3 wins and 2 draws, while Lask Linz has 4 wins and 2 losses. However, the confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty. If Ried can improve their defensive performance, it could impact the expected goals and the overall match outcome.
Ried vs Lask Linz: model vs market
| Source | Ried | Draw | Lask Linz |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41% | 18% | 42% |
| Market | 17% | 20% | 63% |
| Published | 23% | 19% | 58% |
| Edge | +6% | -1% | -5% |
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.52, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -12.1% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Ried vs Lask Linz odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Lask Linz, 16 snapshots since 2026-10-30.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ried | 4.45 | 5.56 | +1.11 |
| Draw | 4.25 | 4.62 | +0.38 |
| Lask Linz | 1.62 | 1.47 | -0.15 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Ried and Lask Linz expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 5.78
- Attack rating (Ried / Lask Linz)
- 1.49 / 1.78
- Defence rating (Ried / Lask Linz)
- 1.28 / 1.26
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Ried vs Lask Linz score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Ried goals. Columns: Lask Linz goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Ried vs Lask Linz goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 89%
- No goals (0–0)
- 1%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Ried vs Lask Linz
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ried | 23% | 4.40 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.14 | |
| Lask Linz | 58% | 1.73 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 93% | 1.08 |
| Under 2.5 | 7% | 13.82 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 89% | 1.12 |
| No | 11% | 9.50 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Ried or draw) | 42% | 2.37 |
| 12 (either side) | 81% | 1.24 | |
| X2 (draw or Lask Linz) | 77% | 1.29 | |
| Handicap -1 | Lask Linz win by 2+ | 26% | 3.78 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Ried and Lask Linz recent form
Ried
3W 2D 1L
Lask Linz
5W 0D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Ried at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-1
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.20
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Lask Linz away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-1
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 2.60
- Goals against / match
- 1.20
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 7 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Ried at home only, Lask Linz away only.
Ried vs Lask Linz head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Ried 2 · draws 5 · Lask Linz 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-28 | Lask Linz | 5-4 | Ried | Austria Cup |
| 2026-08-14 | Lask Linz | 4-1 | Ried | Austria Bundesliga |
| 2026-03-18 | Ried | 1-2 | Lask Linz | Austria Cup |
| 2026-02-14 | Ried | 1-1 | Lask Linz | Austria Bundesliga |
| 2025-08-30 | Lask Linz | 1-3 | Ried | Austria Bundesliga |
| 2025-03-21 | Lask Linz | 1-1 | Ried | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2023-02-18 | Ried | 1-1 | Lask Linz | Bundesliga |
| 2022-09-04 | Lask Linz | 1-1 | Ried | Bundesliga |
| 2022-05-14 | Ried | 1-1 | Lask Linz | Bundesliga |
| 2022-04-02 | Lask Linz | 0-2 | Ried | Bundesliga |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Rapid Vienna vs Wolfsberger AC — team news & stats 2026-11-06
- Austria Lustenau vs Grazer AK 2026-11-07
- TSV Hartberg v SCR Altach — match page 2026-11-08
- WSG Wattens vs Austria Vienna — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Sturm Graz v Red Bull Salzburg — match page 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Ried, previous: SCR Altach vs Ried prediction
- Lask Linz, previous: Lask Linz vs Slovan Bratislava: odds and pick
- Lask Linz, next: Bodo/Glimt – Lask Linz, 2026-11-24