Updated

Austria Bundesliga · Matchday 11

Lask Linz vs WSG Wattens

· Raiffeisen Arena, Linz

Alin prediction Lask Linz to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 2 – 1

8% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Lask LinzDrawWSG Wattens
  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.30 vs 1.84.
  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Lask Linz is the favourite, not a value bet.
Best market odds
Lask Linz1.36 Draw5.79 WSG Wattens7.60

Price as of

Expected return at 1.36: -12.3% per unit staked

Lask Linz vs WSG Wattens preview

In the upcoming match between Lask Linz and WSG Wattens, Lask Linz has a 66% chance of winning, while WSG Wattens has a 16% chance. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with an 8% probability. Lask Linz's expected goals are 2.48 compared to WSG Wattens' 1.70, indicating a potential for a high-scoring game.

Both teams to score has a 75% likelihood, and Over 2.5 goals stands at 79%. However, recent form shows Lask Linz with mixed results (W-W-L-L-D-L) and WSG Wattens with a more positive trend (D-W-L-L-D-W). This could affect the outcome, as Lask Linz must improve their consistency to secure the predicted result.

Lask Linz vs WSG Wattens: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceLask LinzDrawWSG Wattens
Model48%21%31%
Market70%17%13%
Published64%18%17%
Edge-6%+1%+5%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.30 vs 1.84.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.36, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -12.3% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).

Lask Linz vs WSG Wattens odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Lask Linz, 9 snapshots since 2026-10-23.

Opened 1.33Now 1.33 -0.00
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Lask Linz1.331.33-0.00
Draw5.205.33+0.12
WSG Wattens7.577.41-0.17

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Lask Linz and WSG Wattens expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

2.30Lask Linz
1.84WSG Wattens
Total expected goals
4.14
Attack rating (Lask Linz / WSG Wattens)
1.54 / 1.10
Defence rating (Lask Linz / WSG Wattens)
1.33 / 0.96

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Lask Linz vs WSG Wattens score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 2.3% 2.3% 2.7% 1.7% 1.2% 1 3.0% 7.4% 6.2% 3.8% 2.7% 2 4.2% 7.7% 7.1% 4.4% 3.1% 3 3.2% 5.9% 5.5% 3.4% 2.4% 4+ 3.2% 5.8% 5.4% 3.3% 2.3%

Rows: Lask Linz goals. Columns: WSG Wattens goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Lask Linz vs WSG Wattens goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 98%
Over 1.5 93%
Over 2.5 78%
Over 3.5 59%
Both teams to score
76%
No goals (0–0)
2%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Lask Linz vs WSG Wattens

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Lask Linz64%1.55
Draw18%5.43
WSG Wattens17%5.84
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.578%1.28
Under 2.522%4.59
Both teams to scoreYes76%1.31
No24%4.24
Double chance1X (Lask Linz or draw)83%1.21
12 (either side)82%1.23
X2 (draw or WSG Wattens)36%2.81
Handicap -1Lask Linz win by 2+29%3.40
Push (exactly one goal)19%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

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Lask Linz and WSG Wattens recent form

Lask Linz 2W 1D 3L
WSG Wattens 2W 2D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Lask Linz at home

Record (W-D-L)
3-0-2
Win rate
60%
Goals for / match
2.20
Goals against / match
1.20
Clean sheets
2 of 5
  • They have won 6 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

WSG Wattens away

Record (W-D-L)
3-0-2
Win rate
60%
Goals for / match
1.60
Goals against / match
1.20
Clean sheets
3 of 5
  • They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.6 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).

League matches this season before kick-off: Lask Linz at home only, WSG Wattens away only.

Lask Linz vs WSG Wattens head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: Lask Linz 1 · draws 0 · WSG Wattens 1.

Lask LinzDrawsWSG Wattens
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-02-07Lask Linz1-0WSG WattensAustria Bundesliga
2025-08-10WSG Wattens3-1Lask LinzAustria Bundesliga

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Lask Linz to win Predicted score 2 – 1 C Bet on Lask Linz