First Vienna vs FC BW Linz preview
In the match between First Vienna and FC BW Linz, the 1X2 probabilities show both teams at 36%, with a draw at 29%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, occurring at a rate of 9%. First Vienna has an expected goals figure of 1.61, while FC BW Linz sits at 1.17, indicating a stronger attacking performance from First Vienna.
Both teams to score stands at 56%, while Over 2.5 goals is predicted at 53%. However, the confidence grade is C, suggesting that unexpected outcomes could arise. If FC BW Linz improves their scoring efficiency or First Vienna's form dips, these predictions may not hold.
First Vienna vs FC BW Linz: model vs market
| Source | First Vienna | Draw | FC BW Linz |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46% | 27% | 27% |
| Market | 32% | 29% | 39% |
| Published | 36% | 29% | 36% |
| Edge | +4% | -1% | -3% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.61 vs 1.17.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.
- The market prices First Vienna below our published probability: +3.6 percentage points of edge.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 3.01, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +7.2% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
First Vienna vs FC BW Linz odds movement
Median bookmaker price on First Vienna, 3 snapshots since 2026-10-26.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| First Vienna | 2.93 | 2.88 | -0.06 |
| Draw | 3.12 | 3.12 | +0.00 |
| FC BW Linz | 2.40 | 2.39 | -0.01 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
First Vienna and FC BW Linz expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.79
- Attack rating (First Vienna / FC BW Linz)
- 1.41 / 1.48
- Defence rating (First Vienna / FC BW Linz)
- 0.62 / 0.76
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
First Vienna vs FC BW Linz score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: First Vienna goals. Columns: FC BW Linz goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
First Vienna vs FC BW Linz goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 56%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for First Vienna vs FC BW Linz
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | First Vienna | 36% | 2.81 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.46 | |
| FC BW Linz | 36% | 2.81 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53% | 1.90 |
| Under 2.5 | 47% | 2.12 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56% | 1.77 |
| No | 44% | 2.30 | |
| Double chance | 1X (First Vienna or draw) | 64% | 1.55 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.41 | |
| X2 (draw or FC BW Linz) | 64% | 1.55 | |
| Handicap -1 | First Vienna win by 2+ | 25% | 4.04 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
First Vienna and FC BW Linz recent form
First Vienna
6W 0D 0L
FC BW Linz
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
First Vienna at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-1-0
- Win rate
- 80%
- Goals for / match
- 2.40
- Goals against / match
- 0.60
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 5
- They have won 7 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
FC BW Linz away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-1
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 0.60
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 5
- They have won 7 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.8 goals per match.
- They average 3.8 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: First Vienna at home only, FC BW Linz away only.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- SKN ST. Polten v WSPG Wels — match page 2026-10-30
- Austria Salzburg vs SKU Amstetten — team news & stats 2026-10-30
- Wacker Innsbruck vs Austria Vienna (Am) 2026-10-31
- Floridsdorfer AC v SV Kapfenberg — match page 2026-10-31
- Rapid Wien II vs FC Liefering 2026-10-31
- Sturm Graz II v Voitsberg — match page 2026-10-31
- Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz vs Admira Wacker — team news & stats 2026-10-31
Before and after this match
- First Vienna, previous: First Vienna vs Rapid Vienna prediction
- FC BW Linz, previous: Austria Salzburg vs FC BW Linz: odds and pick