Austria Salzburg vs SKU Amstetten preview
In the upcoming match between Austria Salzburg and SKU Amstetten, the 1X2 probabilities show Austria Salzburg at 39%, SKU Amstetten at 36%, and a draw at 25%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% chance, while the model predicts a 62% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance for both teams to score.
Austria Salzburg's expected goals stand at 1.64, slightly higher than SKU Amstetten's 1.56. Recent form indicates Austria Salzburg has one win in their last six matches, while SKU Amstetten has three wins in their last six. The confidence grade for this match is C, suggesting uncertainty in the outcome.
Austria Salzburg vs SKU Amstetten: model vs market
| Source | Austria Salzburg | Draw | SKU Amstetten |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39% | 25% | 36% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 39% | 25% | 36% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Austria Salzburg and SKU Amstetten expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.20
- Attack rating (Austria Salzburg / SKU Amstetten)
- 1.07 / 1.17
- Defence rating (Austria Salzburg / SKU Amstetten)
- 1.04 / 1.01
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Austria Salzburg vs SKU Amstetten score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Austria Salzburg goals. Columns: SKU Amstetten goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Austria Salzburg vs SKU Amstetten goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 65%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Austria Salzburg vs SKU Amstetten
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Austria Salzburg | 39% | 2.57 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.93 | |
| SKU Amstetten | 36% | 2.81 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62% | 1.61 |
| Under 2.5 | 38% | 2.64 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65% | 1.54 |
| No | 35% | 2.84 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Austria Salzburg or draw) | 64% | 1.55 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or SKU Amstetten) | 61% | 1.64 | |
| Handicap -1 | Austria Salzburg win by 2+ | 20% | 4.94 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Austria Salzburg and SKU Amstetten recent form
Austria Salzburg
2W 1D 3L
SKU Amstetten
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Austria Salzburg at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-1
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 2.40
- Goals against / match
- 1.60
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
SKU Amstetten away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-3-1
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 1.40
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
League matches this season before kick-off: Austria Salzburg at home only, SKU Amstetten away only.
Austria Salzburg vs SKU Amstetten head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Austria Salzburg 1 · draws 1 · SKU Amstetten 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-06 | SKU Amstetten | 0-2 | Austria Salzburg | 2. Liga |
| 2025-08-30 | Austria Salzburg | 2-2 | SKU Amstetten | 2. Liga |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- SKN ST. Polten v WSPG Wels — match page 2026-10-30
- Wacker Innsbruck vs Austria Vienna (Am) 2026-10-31
- Floridsdorfer AC v SV Kapfenberg — match page 2026-10-31
- Rapid Wien II vs FC Liefering 2026-10-31
- Sturm Graz II v Voitsberg — match page 2026-10-31
- Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz vs Admira Wacker — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- First Vienna vs FC BW Linz — team news & stats 2026-10-31
Before and after this match
- Austria Salzburg, previous: Austria Salzburg vs FC BW Linz: odds and pick
- SKU Amstetten, previous: SKU Amstetten – Rapid Wien II, 2026-10-23