Updated

2. Liga · Matchday 11

Rapid Wien II vs FC Liefering

· Allianz Stadion, Vienna

Alin prediction FC Liefering to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 1 – 2

8% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Rapid Wien IIDrawFC Liefering
  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.40 vs 1.60.
  • RiskGrade C: weaker evidence — both clubs are rated on goals scored and conceded, not on the chances they created.
Best market odds
Rapid Wien II2.67 Draw3.99 FC Liefering2.27

Price as of

Expected return at 2.27: +1.1% per unit staked

Rapid Wien II vs FC Liefering preview

In the match between Rapid Wien II and FC Liefering, the 1X2 probabilities show FC Liefering at 55%, while Rapid Wien II sits at 25%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with an 8% chance. The expected goals suggest Rapid Wien II will score 1.60, while FC Liefering is expected to net 2.40.

Both teams to score has a 73% probability, and Over 2.5 goals stands at 76%. However, Rapid Wien II's recent form is concerning, with 6 matches yielding only 1 draw and 5 losses. If they continue to struggle, it could affect the likelihood of goals and the final outcome.

Rapid Wien II vs FC Liefering: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceRapid Wien IIDrawFC Liefering
Model25%21%55%
Market35%23%41%
Published33%23%45%
Edge-3%-1%+3%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.40 vs 1.60.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices FC Liefering below our published probability: +3.4 percentage points of edge.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.27, recorded — the top price across the 5 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +1.1% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).

Rapid Wien II vs FC Liefering odds movement

Median bookmaker price on FC Liefering, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-26.

Opened 2.24Now 2.24 +0.00
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Rapid Wien II2.602.60+0.00
Draw3.943.94+0.00
FC Liefering2.242.24+0.00

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Rapid Wien II and FC Liefering expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.60Rapid Wien II
2.40FC Liefering
Total expected goals
4.01
Attack rating (Rapid Wien II / FC Liefering)
0.79 / 1.32
Defence rating (Rapid Wien II / FC Liefering)
1.41 / 1.35

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Rapid Wien II vs FC Liefering score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 2.5% 3.7% 5.2% 4.2% 4.5% 1 2.2% 7.7% 8.4% 6.7% 7.2% 2 2.3% 5.6% 6.8% 5.4% 5.7% 3 1.3% 3.0% 3.6% 2.9% 3.1% 4+ 0.7% 1.7% 2.1% 1.7% 1.8%

Rows: Rapid Wien II goals. Columns: FC Liefering goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Rapid Wien II vs FC Liefering goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 97%
Over 1.5 92%
Over 2.5 76%
Over 3.5 57%
Both teams to score
73%
No goals (0–0)
3%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Rapid Wien II vs FC Liefering

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Rapid Wien II33%3.06
Draw23%4.40
FC Liefering45%2.24
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.576%1.31
Under 2.524%4.22
Both teams to scoreYes73%1.36
No27%3.76
Double chance1X (Rapid Wien II or draw)55%1.80
12 (either side)77%1.29
X2 (draw or FC Liefering)67%1.49
Handicap -1FC Liefering win by 2+35%2.85
Push (exactly one goal)20%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

All betting sites
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Rapid Wien II and FC Liefering recent form

Rapid Wien II 0W 1D 5L
FC Liefering 2W 1D 3L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Rapid Wien II at home

Record (W-D-L)
0-0-4
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
0.50
Goals against / match
2.25
Clean sheets
0 of 4
  • They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

FC Liefering away

Record (W-D-L)
2-1-2
Win rate
40%
Goals for / match
2.00
Goals against / match
2.40
Clean sheets
1 of 5
  • They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.

League matches this season before kick-off: Rapid Wien II at home only, FC Liefering away only.

Rapid Wien II vs FC Liefering head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: Rapid Wien II 0 · draws 1 · FC Liefering 1.

Rapid Wien IIDrawsFC Liefering
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2025-12-12FC Liefering1-0Rapid Wien II2. Liga
2025-08-09Rapid Wien II1-1FC Liefering2. Liga

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot FC Liefering to win Predicted score 1 – 2 C Bet on FC Liefering