Updated

2. Liga · Matchday 12

Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz vs Rapid Wien II

· ImmoAgentur Stadion, Bregenz· Referee D. Pfister

Alin prediction Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 2 – 0

11% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Schwarz-Weiß BregenzDrawRapid Wien II
  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.98 vs 0.94.
  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz is the favourite, not a value bet.
Best market odds
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz1.70 Draw4.36 Rapid Wien II4.20

Price as of

Expected return at 1.70: -3.9% per unit staked

Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz vs Rapid Wien II preview

In the match between Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz and Rapid Wien II, the 1X2 probabilities show Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz at 61%, while Rapid Wien II is at 16%. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, which aligns with the expected goals of 1.98 for Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz and 0.94 for Rapid Wien II.

However, recent form may challenge this prediction. Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz has recorded one win in their last six matches, while Rapid Wien II has lost all of their last six games. Both teams to score stands at 54%, indicating a chance that Rapid Wien II could find the net, which would affect the outcome of the match.

Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz vs Rapid Wien II: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceSchwarz-Weiß BregenzDrawRapid Wien II
Model61%23%16%
Market55%22%22%
Published57%23%21%
Edge+1%0%-2%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.98 vs 0.94.
  • Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.70, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -3.9% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).

Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz vs Rapid Wien II odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz, 8 snapshots since 2026-11-03.

Opened 1.67Now 1.67 +0.00
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz1.671.67+0.00
Draw4.204.10-0.10
Rapid Wien II4.104.12+0.02

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz and Rapid Wien II expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.98Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
0.94Rapid Wien II
Total expected goals
2.92
Attack rating (Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz / Rapid Wien II)
0.96 / 0.79
Defence rating (Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz / Rapid Wien II)
0.92 / 1.37

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz vs Rapid Wien II score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 6.4% 4.1% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2% 1 9.7% 11.0% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4% 2 10.6% 9.9% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4% 3 7.0% 6.6% 3.1% 1.0% 0.3% 4+ 5.4% 5.1% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%

Rows: Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz goals. Columns: Rapid Wien II goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz vs Rapid Wien II goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 94%
Over 1.5 80%
Over 2.5 56%
Over 3.5 33%
Both teams to score
54%
No goals (0–0)
6%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz vs Rapid Wien II

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz57%1.77
Draw23%4.41
Rapid Wien II21%4.80
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.556%1.79
Under 2.544%2.27
Both teams to scoreYes54%1.87
No46%2.15
Double chance1X (Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz or draw)79%1.26
12 (either side)77%1.29
X2 (draw or Rapid Wien II)43%2.30
Handicap -1Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz win by 2+37%2.68
Push (exactly one goal)23%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

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Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz and Rapid Wien II recent form

Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz 1W 2D 3L
Rapid Wien II 0W 1D 5L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz at home

Record (W-D-L)
4-1-0
Win rate
80%
Goals for / match
2.20
Goals against / match
0.60
Clean sheets
3 of 5
  • They have won 4 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 11 matches.

Rapid Wien II away

Record (W-D-L)
2-1-3
Win rate
33%
Goals for / match
1.33
Goals against / match
2.17
Clean sheets
2 of 6
  • They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game on the road against 0.6 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.

League matches this season before kick-off: Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz at home only, Rapid Wien II away only.

Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz vs Rapid Wien II head-to-head

Last 4 meetings: Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz 0 · draws 2 · Rapid Wien II 2.

Schwarz-Weiß BregenzDrawsRapid Wien II
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2025-12-05Rapid Wien II3-1Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz2. Liga
2025-08-02Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz1-1Rapid Wien II2. Liga
2025-05-02Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz1-5Rapid Wien II2. Liga
2024-11-02Rapid Wien II1-1Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz2. Liga

Other Matchday 12 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz to win Predicted score 2 – 0 C Bet on Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz