SKU Amstetten vs Wacker Innsbruck preview
SKU Amstetten faces Wacker Innsbruck with a 46% chance of winning compared to 29% for Wacker Innsbruck. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which occurs 9% of the time. SKU Amstetten has an expected goals figure of 1.57, while Wacker Innsbruck sits at 1.30.
Recent form shows SKU Amstetten with two wins in their last three matches, while Wacker Innsbruck has only one win in their last six. Both teams to score has a probability of 59%, and Over 2.5 goals is at 55%. However, Wacker Innsbruck's stronger head-to-head record, with 5 wins in the last 8 encounters, could influence the outcome.
SKU Amstetten vs Wacker Innsbruck: model vs market
| Source | SKU Amstetten | Draw | Wacker Innsbruck |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43% | 27% | 30% |
| Market | 47% | 25% | 28% |
| Published | 46% | 26% | 28% |
| Edge | -1% | 0% | +1% |
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.00, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -7.7% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
SKU Amstetten vs Wacker Innsbruck odds movement
Median bookmaker price on SKU Amstetten, 12 snapshots since 2026-11-01.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| SKU Amstetten | 2.02 | 1.94 | -0.08 |
| Draw | 3.72 | 3.67 | -0.05 |
| Wacker Innsbruck | 3.12 | 3.33 | +0.21 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
SKU Amstetten and Wacker Innsbruck expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.87
- Attack rating (SKU Amstetten / Wacker Innsbruck)
- 1.07 / 0.93
- Defence rating (SKU Amstetten / Wacker Innsbruck)
- 1.07 / 0.97
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
SKU Amstetten vs Wacker Innsbruck score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: SKU Amstetten goals. Columns: Wacker Innsbruck goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
SKU Amstetten vs Wacker Innsbruck goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 59%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for SKU Amstetten vs Wacker Innsbruck
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SKU Amstetten | 46% | 2.17 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.92 | |
| Wacker Innsbruck | 28% | 3.53 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55% | 1.83 |
| Under 2.5 | 45% | 2.20 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59% | 1.70 |
| No | 41% | 2.42 | |
| Double chance | 1X (SKU Amstetten or draw) | 72% | 1.40 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or Wacker Innsbruck) | 54% | 1.86 | |
| Handicap -1 | SKU Amstetten win by 2+ | 22% | 4.54 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
SKU Amstetten and Wacker Innsbruck recent form
SKU Amstetten
3W 2D 1L
Wacker Innsbruck
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
SKU Amstetten at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-2-0
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 2.20
- Goals against / match
- 1.40
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
Wacker Innsbruck away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-3
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 0.83
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 4 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: SKU Amstetten at home only, Wacker Innsbruck away only.
SKU Amstetten vs Wacker Innsbruck head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: SKU Amstetten 2 · draws 1 · Wacker Innsbruck 5.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-03-18 | SKU Amstetten | 1-0 | Wacker Innsbruck | 2. Liga |
| 2021-09-21 | SKU Amstetten | 1-0 | Wacker Innsbruck | Cup |
| 2021-08-29 | Wacker Innsbruck | 1-0 | SKU Amstetten | 2. Liga |
| 2021-04-02 | Wacker Innsbruck | 3-1 | SKU Amstetten | 2. Liga |
| 2020-10-02 | SKU Amstetten | 2-2 | Wacker Innsbruck | 2. Liga |
| 2020-06-10 | SKU Amstetten | 2-3 | Wacker Innsbruck | 2. Liga |
| 2019-08-23 | Wacker Innsbruck | 2-1 | SKU Amstetten | 2. Liga |
| 2017-09-19 | SKU Amstetten | 0-1 | Wacker Innsbruck | Cup |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- FC Liefering v Austria Salzburg — match page 2026-11-06
- Austria Vienna (Am) vs First Vienna 2026-11-06
- Admira Wacker vs SKN ST. Polten 2026-11-06
- Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz vs Rapid Wien II — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- WSPG Wels vs Sturm Graz II 2026-11-07
- FC BW Linz v Floridsdorfer AC — match page 2026-11-07
- Voitsberg v SV Kapfenberg — match page 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- SKU Amstetten, previous: Austria Salzburg vs SKU Amstetten prediction
- Wacker Innsbruck, previous: Wacker Innsbruck v Austria Vienna (Am) analysis