Wacker Innsbruck vs Austria Vienna (Am) preview
Wacker Innsbruck faces Austria Vienna (Am) with a 39% chance of winning compared to 32% for Austria Vienna (Am) and a 29% chance of a draw. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which has a 9% probability. Both teams to score stands at 54%, indicating a reasonable chance for both sides to find the net.
Wacker Innsbruck's expected goals are 1.39, while Austria Vienna (Am) has 1.23. The recent form shows Wacker Innsbruck with two losses and a win in their last five matches, while Austria Vienna (Am) has three wins and one loss in the same period. A low-scoring game could challenge the prediction of Over 2.5 goals, currently at 49%.
Wacker Innsbruck vs Austria Vienna (Am): model vs market
| Source | Wacker Innsbruck | Draw | Austria Vienna (Am) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39% | 29% | 32% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 39% | 29% | 32% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Wacker Innsbruck and Austria Vienna (Am) expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.62
- Attack rating (Wacker Innsbruck / Austria Vienna (Am))
- 0.91 / 1.10
- Defence rating (Wacker Innsbruck / Austria Vienna (Am))
- 0.87 / 1.01
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Wacker Innsbruck vs Austria Vienna (Am) score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Wacker Innsbruck goals. Columns: Austria Vienna (Am) goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Wacker Innsbruck vs Austria Vienna (Am) goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 54%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Wacker Innsbruck vs Austria Vienna (Am)
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wacker Innsbruck | 39% | 2.55 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.49 | |
| Austria Vienna (Am) | 32% | 3.12 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49% | 2.05 |
| Under 2.5 | 51% | 1.95 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54% | 1.84 |
| No | 46% | 2.19 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Wacker Innsbruck or draw) | 68% | 1.47 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.40 | |
| X2 (draw or Austria Vienna (Am)) | 61% | 1.65 | |
| Handicap -1 | Wacker Innsbruck win by 2+ | 19% | 5.28 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Wacker Innsbruck and Austria Vienna (Am) recent form
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Wacker Innsbruck at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Austria Vienna (Am) away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-2
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- 52% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Wacker Innsbruck at home only, Austria Vienna (Am) away only.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- SKN ST. Polten v WSPG Wels — match page 2026-10-30
- Austria Salzburg vs SKU Amstetten — team news & stats 2026-10-30
- Floridsdorfer AC v SV Kapfenberg — match page 2026-10-31
- Rapid Wien II vs FC Liefering 2026-10-31
- Sturm Graz II v Voitsberg — match page 2026-10-31
- Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz vs Admira Wacker — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- First Vienna vs FC BW Linz — team news & stats 2026-10-31
Before and after this match
- Wacker Innsbruck, previous: Wacker Innsbruck – WSG Wattens, 2026-10-28
- Austria Vienna (Am), previous: Austria Vienna (Am) v Sturm Graz II analysis