SKN ST. Polten vs WSPG Wels preview
In the 2. Liga fixture between SKN ST. Polten and WSPG Wels, the 1X2 probabilities show SKN ST. Polten at 51% to win, while WSPG Wels sits at 22%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0, which occurs 10% of the time in our model.
Both teams to score stands at 53%, indicating a reasonable chance for goals from both sides. However, WSPG Wels has a lower expected goals figure of 1.01, which could limit their scoring ability. Recent form also shows SKN ST. Polten with two wins in their last five matches, while WSPG Wels has only one win in the same period.
SKN ST. Polten vs WSPG Wels: model vs market
| Source | SKN ST. Polten | Draw | WSPG Wels |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51% | 27% | 22% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 51% | 27% | 22% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.65 vs 1.01.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
SKN ST. Polten and WSPG Wels expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.66
- Attack rating (SKN ST. Polten / WSPG Wels)
- 0.75 / 0.95
- Defence rating (SKN ST. Polten / WSPG Wels)
- 0.83 / 1.45
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
SKN ST. Polten vs WSPG Wels score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: SKN ST. Polten goals. Columns: WSPG Wels goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
SKN ST. Polten vs WSPG Wels goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 53%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for SKN ST. Polten vs WSPG Wels
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SKN ST. Polten | 51% | 1.96 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.72 | |
| WSPG Wels | 22% | 4.54 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50% | 2.01 |
| Under 2.5 | 50% | 1.99 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53% | 1.90 |
| No | 47% | 2.11 | |
| Double chance | 1X (SKN ST. Polten or draw) | 78% | 1.28 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.37 | |
| X2 (draw or WSPG Wels) | 49% | 2.05 | |
| Handicap -1 | SKN ST. Polten win by 2+ | 28% | 3.56 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
SKN ST. Polten and WSPG Wels recent form
SKN ST. Polten
2W 2D 2L
WSPG Wels
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
SKN ST. Polten at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-2
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 0.60
- Goals against / match
- 0.60
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
WSPG Wels away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-1
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 2.25
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: SKN ST. Polten at home only, WSPG Wels away only.
SKN ST. Polten vs WSPG Wels head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: SKN ST. Polten 1 · draws 2 · WSPG Wels 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-14 | SKN ST. Polten | 1-0 | WSPG Wels | 2. Liga |
| 2025-11-28 | WSPG Wels | 1-1 | SKN ST. Polten | 2. Liga |
| 2025-08-26 | WSPG Wels | 2-2 | SKN ST. Polten | Austria Cup |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Austria Salzburg vs SKU Amstetten — team news & stats 2026-10-30
- Wacker Innsbruck vs Austria Vienna (Am) 2026-10-31
- Floridsdorfer AC v SV Kapfenberg — match page 2026-10-31
- Rapid Wien II vs FC Liefering 2026-10-31
- Sturm Graz II v Voitsberg — match page 2026-10-31
- Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz vs Admira Wacker — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- First Vienna vs FC BW Linz — team news & stats 2026-10-31
Before and after this match
- SKN ST. Polten, previous: SV Kapfenberg vs SKN ST. Polten prediction
- WSPG Wels, previous: WSPG Wels v Wolfsberger AC analysis