Floridsdorfer AC vs SV Kapfenberg preview
In the match between Floridsdorfer AC and SV Kapfenberg, the 1X2 probabilities show Floridsdorfer AC at 44%, while SV Kapfenberg is at 28%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which has a 9% chance of occurring. With expected goals of 1.51 for Floridsdorfer AC and 1.18 for SV Kapfenberg, there is a solid basis for the prediction.
However, recent form could impact the outcome. Floridsdorfer AC has recorded three losses in their last five matches, while SV Kapfenberg has not won in their last six games, with five losses. Both teams to score stands at 55%, and Over 2.5 goals is at 50%, indicating potential for a high-scoring match, but inconsistencies in form could lead to different results.
Floridsdorfer AC vs SV Kapfenberg: model vs market
| Source | Floridsdorfer AC | Draw | SV Kapfenberg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44% | 28% | 28% |
| Market | 52% | 24% | 24% |
| Published | 50% | 25% | 25% |
| Edge | -2% | +1% | +1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.51 vs 1.18.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.80, recorded — the top price across the 5 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -9.7% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Floridsdorfer AC vs SV Kapfenberg odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Floridsdorfer AC, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-26.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Floridsdorfer AC | 1.77 | 1.77 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.88 | 3.88 | +0.00 |
| SV Kapfenberg | 3.88 | 3.88 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Floridsdorfer AC and SV Kapfenberg expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.69
- Attack rating (Floridsdorfer AC / SV Kapfenberg)
- 0.88 / 0.91
- Defence rating (Floridsdorfer AC / SV Kapfenberg)
- 1.00 / 1.14
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Floridsdorfer AC vs SV Kapfenberg score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Floridsdorfer AC goals. Columns: SV Kapfenberg goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Floridsdorfer AC vs SV Kapfenberg goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 55%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Floridsdorfer AC vs SV Kapfenberg
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Floridsdorfer AC | 50% | 1.99 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.02 | |
| SV Kapfenberg | 25% | 4.00 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50% | 1.99 |
| Under 2.5 | 50% | 2.01 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55% | 1.82 |
| No | 45% | 2.23 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Floridsdorfer AC or draw) | 75% | 1.33 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or SV Kapfenberg) | 50% | 2.01 | |
| Handicap -1 | Floridsdorfer AC win by 2+ | 22% | 4.46 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Floridsdorfer AC and SV Kapfenberg recent form
Floridsdorfer AC
1W 1D 4L
SV Kapfenberg
1W 1D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Floridsdorfer AC at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-1
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 1.80
- Goals against / match
- 0.80
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
SV Kapfenberg away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-3
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.75
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Floridsdorfer AC at home only, SV Kapfenberg away only.
Floridsdorfer AC vs SV Kapfenberg head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Floridsdorfer AC 1 · draws 1 · SV Kapfenberg 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-12 | SV Kapfenberg | 0-0 | Floridsdorfer AC | 2. Liga |
| 2025-08-08 | Floridsdorfer AC | 2-0 | SV Kapfenberg | 2. Liga |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- SKN ST. Polten v WSPG Wels — match page 2026-10-30
- Austria Salzburg vs SKU Amstetten — team news & stats 2026-10-30
- Wacker Innsbruck vs Austria Vienna (Am) 2026-10-31
- Rapid Wien II vs FC Liefering 2026-10-31
- Sturm Graz II v Voitsberg — match page 2026-10-31
- Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz vs Admira Wacker — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- First Vienna vs FC BW Linz — team news & stats 2026-10-31
Before and after this match
- Floridsdorfer AC, previous: First Vienna vs Floridsdorfer AC: odds and pick
- SV Kapfenberg, previous: SV Kapfenberg vs SKN ST. Polten prediction