Updated

2. Liga · Matchday 12

FC BW Linz vs Floridsdorfer AC

· Hofmann Personal Stadion, Linz· Referee J. Spurny

Alin prediction FC BW Linz to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 2 – 0

10% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
FC BW LinzDrawFloridsdorfer AC
  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.78 vs 0.84.
  • RiskGrade C: weaker evidence — both clubs are rated on goals scored and conceded, not on the chances they created.
Best market odds
FC BW Linz1.50 Draw4.73 Floridsdorfer AC6.10

Price as of

Expected return at 1.50: -0.8% per unit staked

18+ · T&Cs apply · best price across 10 bookmakers, each at its own last update; the highlighted price is our pick.

FC BW Linz vs Floridsdorfer AC preview

In the match between FC BW Linz and Floridsdorfer AC, the 1X2 probabilities show FC BW Linz at 77%, while Floridsdorfer AC sits at just 8%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-0, with a 10% chance. FC BW Linz has an expected goals figure of 2.78, compared to Floridsdorfer AC's 0.84, indicating a strong attacking advantage for the home side.

However, the confidence grade is C, suggesting some uncertainty in the forecast. While there is a 70% chance of Over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance for both teams to score, a surprise performance from Floridsdorfer AC could lead to a different outcome.

FC BW Linz vs Floridsdorfer AC: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceFC BW LinzDrawFloridsdorfer AC
Model77%15%8%
Market62%21%16%
Published66%20%14%
Edge+4%-2%-2%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.78 vs 0.84.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices FC BW Linz below our published probability: +3.7 percentage points of edge.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.50, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -0.8% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).

FC BW Linz vs Floridsdorfer AC odds movement

Median bookmaker price on FC BW Linz, 8 snapshots since 2026-11-03.

Opened 1.47Now 1.46 -0.01
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
FC BW Linz1.471.46-0.01
Draw4.374.33-0.04
Floridsdorfer AC5.555.55+0.00

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

FC BW Linz and Floridsdorfer AC expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

2.78FC BW Linz
0.84Floridsdorfer AC
Total expected goals
3.62
Attack rating (FC BW Linz / Floridsdorfer AC)
1.75 / 0.95
Defence rating (FC BW Linz / Floridsdorfer AC)
0.68 / 1.05

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

FC BW Linz vs Floridsdorfer AC score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 3.3% 1.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 1 6.8% 6.9% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2% 2 10.4% 8.7% 3.6% 1.0% 0.3% 3 9.6% 8.1% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 4+ 13.2% 11.0% 4.6% 1.3% 0.3%

Rows: FC BW Linz goals. Columns: Floridsdorfer AC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

FC BW Linz vs Floridsdorfer AC goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 97%
Over 1.5 88%
Over 2.5 70%
Over 3.5 49%
Both teams to score
54%
No goals (0–0)
3%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for FC BW Linz vs Floridsdorfer AC

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2FC BW Linz66%1.51
Draw20%5.11
Floridsdorfer AC14%6.97
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.570%1.43
Under 2.530%3.35
Both teams to scoreYes54%1.86
No46%2.17
Double chance1X (FC BW Linz or draw)86%1.17
12 (either side)80%1.24
X2 (draw or Floridsdorfer AC)34%2.95
Handicap -1FC BW Linz win by 2+58%1.74
Push (exactly one goal)20%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Compare the market for this pick

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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FC BW Linz and Floridsdorfer AC recent form

FC BW Linz 5W 1D 0L
Floridsdorfer AC 1W 1D 4L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

FC BW Linz at home

Record (W-D-L)
5-0-0
Win rate
100%
Goals for / match
3.80
Goals against / match
0.60
Clean sheets
2 of 5
  • They have won 9 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 2.9 goals per match.
  • They average 3.8 goals per game at home against 2.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 11 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Floridsdorfer AC away

Record (W-D-L)
1-0-4
Win rate
20%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
2.40
Clean sheets
1 of 5
  • They have won 4 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).

League matches this season before kick-off: FC BW Linz at home only, Floridsdorfer AC away only.

FC BW Linz vs Floridsdorfer AC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: FC BW Linz 4 · draws 1 · Floridsdorfer AC 5.

FC BW LinzDrawsFloridsdorfer AC
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2023-05-05FC BW Linz1-1Floridsdorfer AC2. Liga
2022-10-02Floridsdorfer AC2-1FC BW Linz2. Liga
2022-05-06Floridsdorfer AC2-0FC BW Linz2. Liga
2021-10-30FC BW Linz0-2Floridsdorfer AC2. Liga
2021-04-30FC BW Linz2-0Floridsdorfer AC2. Liga
2020-11-27Floridsdorfer AC4-1FC BW Linz2. Liga
2020-07-10Floridsdorfer AC1-2FC BW Linz2. Liga
2019-10-18FC BW Linz2-3Floridsdorfer AC2. Liga
2019-04-05Floridsdorfer AC0-2FC BW Linz2. Liga
2018-08-31FC BW Linz5-1Floridsdorfer AC2. Liga

Other Matchday 12 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot FC BW Linz to win Predicted score 2 – 0 C Bet on FC BW Linz
Our pick: FC BW Linz to win 18+ Bet Now