FC Liefering vs Austria Salzburg preview
In the match between FC Liefering and Austria Salzburg, the 1X2 probabilities show a close contest with FC Liefering at 38% and Austria Salzburg at 40%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, which aligns with the expected goals of 1.93 for FC Liefering and 1.99 for Austria Salzburg.
Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals are both projected at 75%. However, FC Liefering's recent form, with 2 wins in their last 6 matches, could impact their performance. Austria Salzburg has a slightly better recent record, which may influence the final outcome.
FC Liefering vs Austria Salzburg: model vs market
| Source | FC Liefering | Draw | Austria Salzburg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38% | 22% | 40% |
| Market | 37% | 24% | 39% |
| Published | 37% | 24% | 39% |
| Edge | 0% | 0% | 0% |
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.39, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -6.1% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
FC Liefering and Austria Salzburg expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.92
- Attack rating (FC Liefering / Austria Salzburg)
- 1.34 / 1.18
- Defence rating (FC Liefering / Austria Salzburg)
- 1.30 / 0.96
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
FC Liefering vs Austria Salzburg score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: FC Liefering goals. Columns: Austria Salzburg goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
FC Liefering vs Austria Salzburg goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 75%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for FC Liefering vs Austria Salzburg
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Liefering | 37% | 2.71 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.20 | |
| Austria Salzburg | 39% | 2.54 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75% | 1.33 |
| Under 2.5 | 25% | 4.01 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 75% | 1.34 |
| No | 25% | 3.94 | |
| Double chance | 1X (FC Liefering or draw) | 61% | 1.65 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.31 | |
| X2 (draw or Austria Salzburg) | 63% | 1.58 | |
| Handicap -1 | Austria Salzburg win by 2+ | 22% | 4.46 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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FC Liefering and Austria Salzburg recent form
FC Liefering
2W 1D 3L
Austria Salzburg
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
FC Liefering at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-2
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 5 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
Austria Salzburg away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-3
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.20
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: FC Liefering at home only, Austria Salzburg away only.
FC Liefering vs Austria Salzburg head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: FC Liefering 6 · draws 3 · Austria Salzburg 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-13 | Austria Salzburg | 2-0 | FC Liefering | 2. Liga |
| 2025-09-14 | FC Liefering | 3-2 | Austria Salzburg | 2. Liga |
| 2017-03-25 | Austria Salzburg | 0-2 | FC Liefering | Regionalliga - West |
| 2016-08-15 | FC Liefering | 3-1 | Austria Salzburg | Regionalliga - West |
| 2016-04-29 | Austria Salzburg | 0-0 | FC Liefering | 2. Liga |
| 2016-03-11 | FC Liefering | 4-0 | Austria Salzburg | 2. Liga |
| 2015-10-16 | Austria Salzburg | 2-2 | FC Liefering | 2. Liga |
| 2015-08-07 | FC Liefering | 5-3 | Austria Salzburg | 2. Liga |
| 2013-05-01 | FC Liefering | 1-0 | Austria Salzburg | Regionalliga - West |
| 2012-10-20 | Austria Salzburg | 1-1 | FC Liefering | Regionalliga - West |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
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Before and after this match
- FC Liefering, previous: Rapid Wien II – FC Liefering, 2026-10-31
- Austria Salzburg, previous: Austria Salzburg vs SKU Amstetten prediction