Updated

2. Liga · Matchday 12

Admira Wacker vs SKN ST. Polten

· Referee C. Demir

Alin prediction SKN ST. Polten to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 0 – 1

11% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Admira WackerDrawSKN ST. Polten
  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — SKN ST. Polten is the favourite, not a value bet.
Best market odds
Admira Wacker2.81 Draw3.95 SKN ST. Polten2.30

Price as of

Expected return at 2.30: -12.8% per unit staked

18+ · T&Cs apply · best price across 10 bookmakers, each at its own last update; the highlighted price is our pick.

Admira Wacker vs SKN ST. Polten preview

In the upcoming match between Admira Wacker and SKN ST. Polten, the 1X2 probabilities show Admira Wacker at 35%, a draw at 27%, and SKN ST. Polten at 38%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-1, occurring at a rate of 11%. With expected goals of 1.05 for Admira Wacker and 0.85 for SKN ST. Polten, the match could lean towards a low-scoring affair.

While both teams to score sits at 39% and Over 2.5 goals at 30%, these figures suggest a tighter contest. Recent form also indicates mixed results, with Admira Wacker winning 3 of their last 6 and SKN ST. Polten winning 4 of their last 6. This could influence the outcome, making the predictions less certain.

Admira Wacker vs SKN ST. Polten: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceAdmira WackerDrawSKN ST. Polten
Model38%34%28%
Market34%25%41%
Published35%27%38%
Edge+1%+2%-3%

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.30, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -12.8% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).

Admira Wacker vs SKN ST. Polten odds movement

Median bookmaker price on SKN ST. Polten, 8 snapshots since 2026-11-03.

Opened 2.27Now 2.22 -0.05
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Admira Wacker2.702.71+0.01
Draw3.543.71+0.17
SKN ST. Polten2.272.22-0.05

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Admira Wacker and SKN ST. Polten expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.05Admira Wacker
0.85SKN ST. Polten
Total expected goals
1.91
Attack rating (Admira Wacker / SKN ST. Polten)
0.84 / 0.84
Defence rating (Admira Wacker / SKN ST. Polten)
0.79 / 0.83

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Admira Wacker vs SKN ST. Polten score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 16.2% 11.3% 5.4% 1.5% 0.4% 1 14.3% 14.7% 5.7% 1.6% 0.4% 2 8.3% 7.0% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 3 2.9% 2.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 4+ 1.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Rows: Admira Wacker goals. Columns: SKN ST. Polten goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Admira Wacker vs SKN ST. Polten goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 84%
Over 1.5 58%
Over 2.5 30%
Over 3.5 13%
Both teams to score
39%
No goals (0–0)
16%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Admira Wacker vs SKN ST. Polten

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Admira Wacker35%2.86
Draw27%3.69
SKN ST. Polten38%2.64
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.530%3.36
Under 2.570%1.42
Both teams to scoreYes39%2.58
No61%1.63
Double chance1X (Admira Wacker or draw)62%1.61
12 (either side)73%1.37
X2 (draw or SKN ST. Polten)65%1.54
Handicap -1SKN ST. Polten win by 2+10%10.43
Push (exactly one goal)18%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Compare the market for this pick

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

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Admira Wacker and SKN ST. Polten recent form

Admira Wacker 4W 0D 2L
SKN ST. Polten 3W 2D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Admira Wacker at home

Record (W-D-L)
3-0-2
Win rate
60%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
0.80
Clean sheets
2 of 5
  • They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

SKN ST. Polten away

Record (W-D-L)
1-1-3
Win rate
20%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
1.40
Clean sheets
0 of 5
  • They have won 4 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 11 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

League matches this season before kick-off: Admira Wacker at home only, SKN ST. Polten away only.

Admira Wacker vs SKN ST. Polten head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: Admira Wacker 6 · draws 3 · SKN ST. Polten 1.

Admira WackerDrawsSKN ST. Polten
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-05-02SKN ST. Polten0-0Admira Wacker2. Liga
2025-11-07Admira Wacker2-1SKN ST. Polten2. Liga
2025-03-28Admira Wacker1-1SKN ST. Polten2. Liga
2024-10-01SKN ST. Polten0-1Admira Wacker2. Liga
2024-04-12SKN ST. Polten0-3Admira Wacker2. Liga
2023-09-22Admira Wacker2-2SKN ST. Polten2. Liga
2023-04-21SKN ST. Polten2-0Admira Wacker2. Liga
2022-08-26Admira Wacker1-0SKN ST. Polten2. Liga
2021-05-08Admira Wacker2-0SKN ST. PoltenBundesliga
2021-04-03SKN ST. Polten0-1Admira WackerBundesliga

Other Matchday 12 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot SKN ST. Polten to win Predicted score 0 – 1 C Bet on SKN ST. Polten
Our pick: SKN ST. Polten to win 18+ Bet Now