Updated

2. Liga · Matchday 11

Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz vs Admira Wacker

· ImmoAgentur Stadion, Bregenz

Alin prediction Admira Wacker to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 0 – 1

11% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Schwarz-Weiß BregenzDrawAdmira Wacker
  • WhyBetter recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz vs Admira Wacker preview

In the upcoming match between Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz and Admira Wacker, the 1X2 probabilities show both teams at 34%, with a draw at 32%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, occurring 11% of the time according to our model. Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz has an expected goals figure of 1.10, while Admira Wacker sits slightly higher at 1.11.

Recent form indicates that Admira Wacker is in better shape, winning 4 of their last 6 matches, while Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz has only 1 win in the same period. The probability of Over 2.5 goals stands at 38%, and both teams to score is at 46%. These factors could influence the outcome, especially if Bregenz improves their scoring.

Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz vs Admira Wacker: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceSchwarz-Weiß BregenzDrawAdmira Wacker
Model34%32%34%
Market———
Published34%32%34%
Edge———
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz and Admira Wacker expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.10Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
1.11Admira Wacker
Total expected goals
2.21
Attack rating (Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz / Admira Wacker)
0.93 / 0.94
Defence rating (Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz / Admira Wacker)
0.92 / 0.79

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz vs Admira Wacker score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 12.4% 10.9% 6.7% 2.5% 0.9% 1 10.8% 14.7% 7.4% 2.7% 1.0% 2 6.7% 7.4% 4.1% 1.5% 0.5% 3 2.4% 2.7% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 4+ 0.8% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Rows: Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz goals. Columns: Admira Wacker goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz vs Admira Wacker goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 88%
Over 1.5 66%
Over 2.5 38%
Over 3.5 18%
Both teams to score
46%
No goals (0–0)
12%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz vs Admira Wacker

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz34%2.95
Draw32%3.15
Admira Wacker34%2.91
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.538%2.64
Under 2.562%1.61
Both teams to scoreYes46%2.18
No54%1.85
Double chance1X (Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz or draw)66%1.52
12 (either side)68%1.47
X2 (draw or Admira Wacker)66%1.51
Handicap -1Admira Wacker win by 2+14%6.95
Push (exactly one goal)20%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz and Admira Wacker recent form

Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz 1W 3D 2L
Admira Wacker 5W 0D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz at home

Record (W-D-L)
3-1-0
Win rate
75%
Goals for / match
2.50
Goals against / match
0.75
Clean sheets
2 of 4
  • They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 9 matches.

Admira Wacker away

Record (W-D-L)
3-0-2
Win rate
60%
Goals for / match
1.60
Goals against / match
1.20
Clean sheets
2 of 5
  • They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.6 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz at home only, Admira Wacker away only.

Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz vs Admira Wacker head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz 0 · draws 1 · Admira Wacker 1.

Schwarz-Weiß BregenzDrawsAdmira Wacker
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-03-13Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz1-4Admira Wacker2. Liga
2025-09-13Admira Wacker2-2Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz2. Liga

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Admira Wacker to win Predicted score 0 – 1 C Bet on Admira Wacker