WSPG Wels vs Wolfsberger AC Prediction & Betting Tips 27/10/2026

WSPG Wels vs Wolfsberger AC preview

In the Austria Cup fixture between WSPG Wels and Wolfsberger AC, the 1X2 probabilities show WSPG Wels at 17%, a draw at 25%, and Wolfsberger AC at 58%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with a 12% chance. WSPG Wels has an expected goals figure of 0.84, while Wolfsberger AC stands at 1.75, suggesting a potential advantage for the visitors.

Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals are each at 48%, indicating uncertainty in offensive output. Recent form shows WSPG Wels with a mixed record of W-L-L-W-L-D, while Wolfsberger AC has struggled with L-L-L-D-L-D. This form could affect the outcome, as WSPG Wels may capitalize on Wolfsberger AC's difficulties.

WSPG Wels vs Wolfsberger AC: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	WSPG Wels	Draw	Wolfsberger AC
Model	17%	25%	58%
Market	—	—	—
Published	17%	25%	58%
Edge	—	—	—

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.75 vs 0.84.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

WSPG Wels and Wolfsberger AC expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

0.84WSPG Wels

1.75Wolfsberger AC

Total expected goals: 2.59
Attack rating (WSPG Wels / Wolfsberger AC): 0.72 / 0.73
Defence rating (WSPG Wels / Wolfsberger AC): 0.89 / 1.00

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

WSPG Wels vs Wolfsberger AC score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 8.6% 12.0% 11.5% 6.7% 4.4% 1 5.2% 12.1% 9.7% 5.6% 3.7% 2 2.6% 4.6% 4.1% 2.4% 1.5% 3 0.7% 1.3% 1.1% 0.7% 0.4% 4+ 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Rows: WSPG Wels goals. Columns: Wolfsberger AC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

WSPG Wels vs Wolfsberger AC goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 91%

Over 1.5 74%

Over 2.5 48%

Over 3.5 26%

Both teams to score: 48%
No goals (0–0): 9%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for WSPG Wels vs Wolfsberger AC

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	WSPG Wels	17%	6.02
	Draw	25%	3.92
	Wolfsberger AC	58%	1.73
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	48%	2.08
	Under 2.5	52%	1.92
Both teams to score	Yes	48%	2.08
	No	52%	1.93
Double chance	1X (WSPG Wels or draw)	42%	2.38
	12 (either side)	75%	1.34
	X2 (draw or Wolfsberger AC)	83%	1.20
Handicap -1	Wolfsberger AC win by 2+	34%	2.98
	Push (exactly one goal)	24%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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