Rapid Vienna vs Austria Lustenau preview
Rapid Vienna faces Austria Lustenau with a strong 79% chance to win, while the most likely scoreline is 3-1 at 7%. Rapid Vienna's expected goals stand at 3.82, suggesting a high-scoring match, with Over 2.5 goals forecasted at 87%.
Austria Lustenau's recent form shows 4 losses in their last 6 matches, which could impact their performance. The model also indicates a 68% chance for both teams to score, but if Rapid Vienna's defense holds strong, this could change. The confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.
Rapid Vienna vs Austria Lustenau: model vs market
| Source | Rapid Vienna | Draw | Austria Lustenau |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 84% | 10% | 7% |
| Market | 77% | 14% | 8% |
| Published | 79% | 13% | 8% |
| Edge | +6% | -4% | -2% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.83 vs 1.17.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Rapid Vienna below the model: +6.3 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.31, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update.
Rapid Vienna vs Austria Lustenau odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Rapid Vienna, 17 snapshots since 2026-10-11.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rapid Vienna | 1.28 | 1.21 | -0.07 |
| Draw | 5.50 | 6.55 | +1.05 |
| Austria Lustenau | 8.50 | 11.00 | +2.50 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Rapid Vienna and Austria Lustenau expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 5.00
- Attack rating (Rapid Vienna / Austria Lustenau)
- 1.83 / 1.15
- Defence rating (Rapid Vienna / Austria Lustenau)
- 0.80 / 1.37
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Rapid Vienna vs Austria Lustenau score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Rapid Vienna goals. Columns: Austria Lustenau goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Rapid Vienna vs Austria Lustenau goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 68%
- No goals (0–0)
- 1%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Rapid Vienna vs Austria Lustenau
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rapid Vienna | 79% | 1.27 |
| Draw | 13% | 7.58 | |
| Austria Lustenau | 8% | 12.49 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 87% | 1.14 |
| Under 2.5 | 13% | 7.99 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68% | 1.48 |
| No | 32% | 3.10 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Rapid Vienna or draw) | 92% | 1.09 |
| 12 (either side) | 87% | 1.15 | |
| X2 (draw or Austria Lustenau) | 21% | 4.72 | |
| Handicap -1 | Rapid Vienna win by 2+ | 69% | 1.45 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 14% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Rapid Vienna and Austria Lustenau recent form
Rapid Vienna
5W 0D 1L
Austria Lustenau
2W 0D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Rapid Vienna at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 3.60
- Goals against / match
- 0.40
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 5
- They have won 7 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.9 goals per match.
- They average 3.8 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Austria Lustenau away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-3
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 2.25
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Rapid Vienna at home only, Austria Lustenau away only.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- SCR Altach v Austria Vienna — match page 2026-10-23
- WSG Wattens vs Grazer AK 2026-10-24
- Sturm Graz vs Ried — team news & stats 2026-10-25
- TSV Hartberg vs Wolfsberger AC — team news & stats 2026-10-25
- Lask Linz v Red Bull Salzburg — match page 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- Rapid Vienna, previous: Rapid Vienna vs TSV Hartberg prediction
- Rapid Vienna, next: First Vienna vs Rapid Vienna prediction
- Austria Lustenau, previous: Austria Lustenau vs Lask Linz: odds and pick
- Austria Lustenau, next: Austria Lustenau v Sturm Graz analysis