Anderlecht vs KVC Westerlo preview
Anderlecht faces KVC Westerlo with a 52% chance to win and an expected scoreline of 2-1, which has a 9% probability. The model predicts a high likelihood of Over 2.5 goals at 68% and both teams to score at 67%.
However, Anderlecht's recent form shows inconsistency with 3 wins in their last 6 matches, while KVC Westerlo is in strong form with 6 consecutive matches without a loss. This could impact the expected outcome, as KVC Westerlo has won 1 of the last 3 head-to-head encounters against Anderlecht.
Anderlecht vs KVC Westerlo: model vs market
| Source | Anderlecht | Draw | KVC Westerlo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39% | 23% | 38% |
| Market | 60% | 21% | 19% |
| Published | 55% | 21% | 24% |
| Edge | -5% | +1% | +5% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.57, recorded — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -13.9% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Anderlecht vs KVC Westerlo odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Anderlecht, 3 snapshots since 2026-10-25.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht | 1.88 | 1.57 | -0.31 |
| Draw | 3.76 | 4.53 | +0.77 |
| KVC Westerlo | 4.02 | 5.00 | +0.98 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Anderlecht and KVC Westerlo expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.71
- Attack rating (Anderlecht / KVC Westerlo)
- 0.96 / 1.60
- Defence rating (Anderlecht / KVC Westerlo)
- 0.92 / 1.27
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Anderlecht vs KVC Westerlo score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Anderlecht goals. Columns: KVC Westerlo goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Anderlecht vs KVC Westerlo goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 72%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Anderlecht vs KVC Westerlo
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Anderlecht | 55% | 1.82 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.66 | |
| KVC Westerlo | 24% | 4.23 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72% | 1.40 |
| Under 2.5 | 28% | 3.52 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72% | 1.39 |
| No | 28% | 3.57 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Anderlecht or draw) | 76% | 1.31 |
| 12 (either side) | 79% | 1.27 | |
| X2 (draw or KVC Westerlo) | 45% | 2.22 | |
| Handicap -1 | Anderlecht win by 2+ | 21% | 4.71 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Anderlecht and KVC Westerlo recent form
Anderlecht
3W 0D 3L
KVC Westerlo
5W 1D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Anderlecht at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-0
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 0.25
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 4
- They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
KVC Westerlo away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-2
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.75
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
League matches this season before kick-off: Anderlecht at home only, KVC Westerlo away only.
Anderlecht vs KVC Westerlo head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Anderlecht 2 · draws 0 · KVC Westerlo 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-07 | KVC Westerlo | 4-0 | Anderlecht | Jupiler Pro League |
| 2025-07-27 | Anderlecht | 5-2 | KVC Westerlo | Jupiler Pro League |
| 2024-12-05 | Anderlecht | 4-1 | KVC Westerlo | Belgium Cup |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Zulte Waregem v Club Brugge KV — match page 2026-10-30
- KV Mechelen vs Genk — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Standard Liege vs Kortrijk — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- SK Beveren vs Union St. Gilloise — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Cercle Brugge vs Antwerp 2026-11-01
- St. Truiden vs OH Leuven 2026-11-01
- Lommel United v Gent — match page 2026-11-01
- Charleroi v RAAL La Louvière — match page 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Anderlecht, previous: Gent v Anderlecht analysis
- Anderlecht, next: Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg: odds and pick
- KVC Westerlo, previous: KVC Westerlo vs SK Beveren prediction