Standard Liege vs Kortrijk preview
In the Jupiler Pro League match between Standard Liege and Kortrijk, the 1X2 probabilities show Standard Liege at 68%, with a most likely scoreline of 2-0 at 12%. Standard Liege has an expected goals figure of 2.15, while Kortrijk sits at 0.79.
However, the match could deviate from this prediction if Kortrijk improves their form, as they have recently recorded three losses in their last six matches. The 56% chance of Over 2.5 goals and a 49% likelihood for both teams to score indicates that while Standard Liege is favored, there is potential for surprises if Kortrijk manages to find the net.
Standard Liege vs Kortrijk: model vs market
| Source | Standard Liege | Draw | Kortrijk |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 66% | 22% | 13% |
| Market | 54% | 24% | 22% |
| Published | 57% | 23% | 20% |
| Edge | +3% | -1% | -2% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.09 vs 0.83.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Standard Liege below our published probability: +2.9 percentage points of edge.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.76, recorded — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +0.2% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Standard Liege vs Kortrijk odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Standard Liege, 3 snapshots since 2026-10-25.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Standard Liege | 1.75 | 1.75 | -0.00 |
| Draw | 3.90 | 3.92 | +0.02 |
| Kortrijk | 4.34 | 4.30 | -0.04 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Standard Liege and Kortrijk expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.92
- Attack rating (Standard Liege / Kortrijk)
- 1.05 / 0.67
- Defence rating (Standard Liege / Kortrijk)
- 0.98 / 1.30
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Standard Liege vs Kortrijk score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Standard Liege goals. Columns: Kortrijk goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Standard Liege vs Kortrijk goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 50%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Standard Liege vs Kortrijk
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Standard Liege | 57% | 1.76 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.27 | |
| Kortrijk | 20% | 5.10 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56% | 1.79 |
| Under 2.5 | 44% | 2.26 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50% | 1.99 |
| No | 50% | 2.01 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Standard Liege or draw) | 80% | 1.24 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.31 | |
| X2 (draw or Kortrijk) | 43% | 2.32 | |
| Handicap -1 | Standard Liege win by 2+ | 42% | 2.36 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Standard Liege and Kortrijk recent form
Standard Liege
2W 0D 4L
Kortrijk
1W 1D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Standard Liege at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 0.75
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Kortrijk away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-4
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.2 goals per match.
- They average 0.5 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 8 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Standard Liege at home only, Kortrijk away only.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Zulte Waregem v Club Brugge KV — match page 2026-10-30
- KV Mechelen vs Genk — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Anderlecht vs KVC Westerlo 2026-10-31
- SK Beveren vs Union St. Gilloise — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Cercle Brugge vs Antwerp 2026-11-01
- St. Truiden vs OH Leuven 2026-11-01
- Lommel United v Gent — match page 2026-11-01
- Charleroi v RAAL La Louvière — match page 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Standard Liege, previous: Genk – Standard Liege, 2026-10-25
- Kortrijk, next: Kortrijk vs KV Mechelen: odds and pick