Charleroi vs RAAL La Louvière preview
In the Jupiler Pro League fixture between Charleroi and RAAL La Louvière, Charleroi has a 55% chance to win compared to 21% for RAAL La Louvière. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which occurs with a 10% probability. Charleroi's expected goals stand at 1.90, while RAAL La Louvière's is 1.10.
However, Charleroi's recent form shows inconsistency with 3 wins and 3 losses in their last 6 matches. Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals are both at 58%, indicating potential for a more open game. The confidence grade is C, suggesting that while Charleroi is favored, the outcome could still be uncertain.
Charleroi vs RAAL La Louvière: model vs market
| Source | Charleroi | Draw | RAAL La Louvière |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55% | 24% | 21% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 55% | 24% | 21% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.90 vs 1.10.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Charleroi and RAAL La Louvière expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.00
- Attack rating (Charleroi / RAAL La Louvière)
- 1.04 / 1.13
- Defence rating (Charleroi / RAAL La Louvière)
- 0.77 / 1.20
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Charleroi vs RAAL La Louvière score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Charleroi goals. Columns: RAAL La Louvière goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Charleroi vs RAAL La Louvière goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 58%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Charleroi vs RAAL La Louvière
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Charleroi | 55% | 1.82 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.11 | |
| RAAL La Louvière | 21% | 4.83 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 | 42% | 2.36 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58% | 1.73 |
| No | 42% | 2.37 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Charleroi or draw) | 79% | 1.26 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.32 | |
| X2 (draw or RAAL La Louvière) | 45% | 2.22 | |
| Handicap -1 | Charleroi win by 2+ | 33% | 3.07 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Charleroi and RAAL La Louvière recent form
Charleroi
4W 0D 2L
RAAL La Louvière
3W 0D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Charleroi at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-1
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 2.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 7 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
RAAL La Louvière away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-4
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.25
- Goals against / match
- 2.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Charleroi at home only, RAAL La Louvière away only.
Charleroi vs RAAL La Louvière head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Charleroi 0 · draws 1 · RAAL La Louvière 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-29 | Charleroi | 0-0 | RAAL La Louvière | Jupiler Pro League |
| 2025-08-10 | RAAL La Louvière | 1-0 | Charleroi | Jupiler Pro League |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Zulte Waregem v Club Brugge KV — match page 2026-10-30
- KV Mechelen vs Genk — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Standard Liege vs Kortrijk — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Anderlecht vs KVC Westerlo 2026-10-31
- SK Beveren vs Union St. Gilloise — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Cercle Brugge vs Antwerp 2026-11-01
- St. Truiden vs OH Leuven 2026-11-01
- Lommel United v Gent — match page 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Charleroi, previous: Antwerp vs Charleroi prediction
- RAAL La Louvière, previous: RAAL La Louvière vs Zulte Waregem: odds and pick