CS Cartagines vs Escorpiones Belén preview
CS Cartagines faces Escorpiones Belén with a 68% probability of winning, while Escorpiones Belén has just a 14% chance. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, supported by expected goals of 2.59 for CS Cartagines and 1.12 for Escorpiones Belén. The model also indicates a strong possibility of Over 2.5 goals at 72% and both teams to score at 63%.
However, CS Cartagines has shown inconsistency in recent form, with two losses in their last six matches. Escorpiones Belén, while also inconsistent, has won two of their last three games. This could impact the outcome, making it essential to consider the potential for an upset.
CS Cartagines vs Escorpiones Belén: model vs market
| Source | CS Cartagines | Draw | Escorpiones Belén |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 68% | 18% | 14% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 68% | 18% | 14% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.59 vs 1.12.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
CS Cartagines and Escorpiones Belén expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.71
- Attack rating (CS Cartagines / Escorpiones Belén)
- 1.34 / 1.06
- Defence rating (CS Cartagines / Escorpiones Belén)
- 0.94 / 1.36
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
CS Cartagines vs Escorpiones Belén score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: CS Cartagines goals. Columns: Escorpiones Belén goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
CS Cartagines vs Escorpiones Belén goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 63%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for CS Cartagines vs Escorpiones Belén
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CS Cartagines | 68% | 1.47 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.51 | |
| Escorpiones Belén | 14% | 7.30 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72% | 1.40 |
| Under 2.5 | 28% | 3.52 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63% | 1.58 |
| No | 37% | 2.71 | |
| Double chance | 1X (CS Cartagines or draw) | 86% | 1.16 |
| 12 (either side) | 82% | 1.22 | |
| X2 (draw or Escorpiones Belén) | 32% | 3.14 | |
| Handicap -1 | CS Cartagines win by 2+ | 48% | 2.10 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
CS Cartagines and Escorpiones Belén recent form
CS Cartagines
3W 0D 3L
Escorpiones Belén
3W 0D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
CS Cartagines at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 2.29
- Goals against / match
- 0.57
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 7
- They have won 9 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.6 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Escorpiones Belén away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-4
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.67
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 6
- They have won 3 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 13 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: CS Cartagines at home only, Escorpiones Belén away only.
CS Cartagines vs Escorpiones Belén head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: CS Cartagines 1 · draws 0 · Escorpiones Belén 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Escorpiones Belén | 1-4 | CS Cartagines | Costa Rica Primera División |
Other Apertura - 16 fixtures
Before and after this match
- CS Cartagines, previous: Inter San Carlos vs CS Cartagines: odds and pick
- Escorpiones Belén, previous: Escorpiones Belén v LD Alajuelense analysis