Deportivo Saprissa vs Puntarenas FC preview
In the match between Deportivo Saprissa and Puntarenas FC, the 1X2 probabilities show Deportivo Saprissa at 55% to win, while Puntarenas FC is at 20%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which aligns with the expected goals of 1.76 for Saprissa and 0.98 for Puntarenas.
However, the recent form of both teams could influence the outcome. Deportivo Saprissa has recorded two wins in their last six matches, while Puntarenas FC has three wins in the same period. Additionally, both teams to score stands at 53%, indicating a possibility for goals from both sides, which could challenge the predicted scoreline.
Deportivo Saprissa vs Puntarenas FC: model vs market
| Source | Deportivo Saprissa | Draw | Puntarenas FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55% | 26% | 20% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 55% | 26% | 20% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.76 vs 0.98.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Deportivo Saprissa and Puntarenas FC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.74
- Attack rating (Deportivo Saprissa / Puntarenas FC)
- 1.21 / 1.04
- Defence rating (Deportivo Saprissa / Puntarenas FC)
- 0.84 / 1.03
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Deportivo Saprissa vs Puntarenas FC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Deportivo Saprissa goals. Columns: Puntarenas FC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Deportivo Saprissa vs Puntarenas FC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 53%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Deportivo Saprissa vs Puntarenas FC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Saprissa | 55% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.90 | |
| Puntarenas FC | 20% | 5.04 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52% | 1.93 |
| Under 2.5 | 48% | 2.07 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53% | 1.89 |
| No | 47% | 2.12 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Deportivo Saprissa or draw) | 80% | 1.25 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| X2 (draw or Puntarenas FC) | 45% | 2.20 | |
| Handicap -1 | Deportivo Saprissa win by 2+ | 31% | 3.20 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Deportivo Saprissa and Puntarenas FC recent form
Deportivo Saprissa
2W 1D 3L
Puntarenas FC
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Deportivo Saprissa at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-1-0
- Win rate
- 86%
- Goals for / match
- 2.86
- Goals against / match
- 0.71
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 7
- They have won 8 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.9 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 14 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Puntarenas FC away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-3-2
- Win rate
- 29%
- Goals for / match
- 1.29
- Goals against / match
- 1.43
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 7
- They have won 5 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Deportivo Saprissa at home only, Puntarenas FC away only.
Deportivo Saprissa vs Puntarenas FC head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Deportivo Saprissa 3 · draws 1 · Puntarenas FC 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Puntarenas FC | 0-2 | Deportivo Saprissa | Costa Rica Primera División |
| 2026-04-26 | Puntarenas FC | 1-3 | Deportivo Saprissa | Costa Rica Primera División |
| 2026-01-14 | Deportivo Saprissa | 2-2 | Puntarenas FC | Costa Rica Primera División |
| 2025-10-26 | Deportivo Saprissa | 2-1 | Puntarenas FC | Costa Rica Primera División |
| 2025-09-11 | Puntarenas FC | 3-1 | Deportivo Saprissa | Costa Rica Primera División |
Other Apertura - 16 fixtures
- San Carlos vs Perez Zeledon — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- LD Alajuelense v Sporting San Jose — match page 2026-11-08
- CS Cartagines vs Escorpiones Belén 2026-11-08
- CS Herediano v Inter San Carlos — match page 2026-11-09
Before and after this match
- Deportivo Saprissa, previous: CS Herediano vs Deportivo Saprissa: odds and pick
- Puntarenas FC, previous: Puntarenas FC vs San Carlos prediction