CS Herediano vs Inter San Carlos preview
In the fixture between CS Herediano and Inter San Carlos, CS Herediano has a 53% probability to win, compared to 22% for Inter San Carlos. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 10% chance of occurring. CS Herediano's expected goals stand at 1.78, while Inter San Carlos has 1.08, indicating a potential advantage for the home side.
However, CS Herediano's recent form shows two losses in their last three matches, which could impact their performance. Both teams to score has a probability of 56%, and Over 2.5 goals is at 55%, suggesting that while CS Herediano may be favored, the match could still be competitive and unpredictable.
CS Herediano vs Inter San Carlos: model vs market
| Source | CS Herediano | Draw | Inter San Carlos |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53% | 25% | 22% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 53% | 25% | 22% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.78 vs 1.08.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
CS Herediano and Inter San Carlos expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.86
- Attack rating (CS Herediano / Inter San Carlos)
- 0.91 / 1.02
- Defence rating (CS Herediano / Inter San Carlos)
- 0.94 / 1.39
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
CS Herediano vs Inter San Carlos score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: CS Herediano goals. Columns: Inter San Carlos goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
CS Herediano vs Inter San Carlos goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 56%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for CS Herediano vs Inter San Carlos
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CS Herediano | 53% | 1.89 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.93 | |
| Inter San Carlos | 22% | 4.60 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55% | 1.83 |
| Under 2.5 | 45% | 2.20 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56% | 1.78 |
| No | 44% | 2.27 | |
| Double chance | 1X (CS Herediano or draw) | 78% | 1.28 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or Inter San Carlos) | 47% | 2.12 | |
| Handicap -1 | CS Herediano win by 2+ | 30% | 3.31 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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CS Herediano and Inter San Carlos recent form
CS Herediano
2W 1D 3L
Inter San Carlos
1W 1D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
CS Herediano at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-4
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 6
- They have won 3 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 14 matches.
Inter San Carlos away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-4
- Win rate
- 43%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 7
- They have won 5 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: CS Herediano at home only, Inter San Carlos away only.
CS Herediano vs Inter San Carlos head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: CS Herediano 0 · draws 1 · Inter San Carlos 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | Inter San Carlos | 1-1 | CS Herediano | Costa Rica Primera División |
Other Apertura - 16 fixtures
Before and after this match
- CS Herediano, previous: CS Herediano vs Deportivo Saprissa: odds and pick
- Inter San Carlos, previous: Inter San Carlos vs CS Cartagines: odds and pick