Inter San Carlos vs Perez Zeledon preview
Inter San Carlos hosts Perez Zeledon with a 53% probability of winning, making them the favorites. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which reflects a tight match. However, the confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty in the outcome.
The stats show that Over 2.5 goals is at 43%, while both teams to score stands at 48%. Inter San Carlos has an expected goals figure of 1.42 compared to Perez Zeledon's 0.97, suggesting they may dominate the chances. Recent form also favors Inter San Carlos, who have won three of their last five matches, while Perez Zeledon has lost four of their last five.
Inter San Carlos vs Perez Zeledon: model vs market
| Source | Inter San Carlos | Draw | Perez Zeledon |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46% | 29% | 25% |
| Market | 56% | 25% | 19% |
| Published | 53% | 26% | 20% |
| Edge | -10% | +4% | +6% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.42 vs 0.97.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.66, recorded — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update.
Inter San Carlos vs Perez Zeledon odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Inter San Carlos, 8 snapshots since 2026-10-03.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inter San Carlos | 1.64 | 1.62 | -0.01 |
| Draw | 3.65 | 3.59 | -0.06 |
| Perez Zeledon | 4.72 | 4.78 | +0.05 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Inter San Carlos and Perez Zeledon expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.39
- Attack rating (Inter San Carlos / Perez Zeledon)
- 0.84 / 0.78
- Defence rating (Inter San Carlos / Perez Zeledon)
- 1.13 / 1.22
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Inter San Carlos vs Perez Zeledon score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Inter San Carlos goals. Columns: Perez Zeledon goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Inter San Carlos vs Perez Zeledon goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 48%
- No goals (0–0)
- 10%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Inter San Carlos vs Perez Zeledon
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Inter San Carlos | 53% | 1.87 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.81 | |
| Perez Zeledon | 20% | 4.92 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43% | 2.34 |
| Under 2.5 | 57% | 1.75 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48% | 2.07 |
| No | 52% | 1.93 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Inter San Carlos or draw) | 80% | 1.26 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.36 | |
| X2 (draw or Perez Zeledon) | 47% | 2.15 | |
| Handicap -1 | Inter San Carlos win by 2+ | 23% | 4.34 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Inter San Carlos and Perez Zeledon recent form
Inter San Carlos
3W 1D 2L
Perez Zeledon
1W 1D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Inter San Carlos at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-0
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Perez Zeledon away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-2
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Inter San Carlos at home only, Perez Zeledon away only.
Inter San Carlos vs Perez Zeledon head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Inter San Carlos 1 · draws 0 · Perez Zeledon 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Perez Zeledon | 0-1 | Inter San Carlos | Costa Rica Primera División |
Other Apertura - 10 fixtures
- Sporting San Jose vs CS Cartagines 2026-10-10
- Puntarenas FC vs LD Alajuelense — team news & stats 2026-10-10
- CS Herediano v San Carlos — match page 2026-10-11
- Escorpiones Belén v Deportivo Saprissa — match page 2026-10-11