Today’s matches in Spain
18 fixtures today — every row opens the full prediction
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Ours | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuarte vs GironaCopa del ReyC | Copa del Rey | GironaOur prob 75% | — | 75% | — | C | — |
| Sestao River vs EspanyolCopa del ReyB | Copa del Rey | EspanyolOur prob 41% | — | 41% | — | B | — |
| Calamocha vs Europa FcCopa del ReyC | Copa del Rey | Europa FcOur prob 50% | — | 50% | — | C | — |
| Pinatar vs ElcheCopa del ReyB | Copa del Rey | PinatarOur prob 62% | — | 62% | — | B | — |
| Castellonense vs AlmeriaCopa del ReyC | Copa del Rey | AlmeriaOur prob 68% | — | 68% | — | C | — |
| Gimnástica Segoviana vs Cultural LeonesaCopa del ReyC | Copa del Rey | Cultural LeonesaOur prob 38% | — | 38% | — | C | — |
| Llanera vs PonferradinaCopa del ReyC | Copa del Rey | PonferradinaOur prob 53% | — | 53% | — | C | — |
| RSD Alcalá vs Las PalmasCopa del ReyC | Copa del Rey | Las PalmasOur prob 54% | — | 54% | — | C | — |
| Atlético Tordesillas vs MirandesCopa del ReyC | Copa del Rey | MirandesOur prob 49% | — | 49% | — | C | — |
| Ciudad de Lucena vs Rayo MajadahondaCopa del ReyC | Copa del Rey | Rayo MajadahondaOur prob 65% | — | 65% | — | C | — |
| Manresa vs Sant AndreuCopa del ReyC | Copa del Rey | Sant AndreuOur prob 50% | — | 50% | — | C | — |
| Don Benito vs Extremadura 1924Copa del ReyC | Copa del Rey | Extremadura 1924Our prob 48% | — | 48% | — | C | — |
| Atlético Paso vs CordobaCopa del ReyC | Copa del Rey | CordobaOur prob 51% | — | 51% | — | C | — |
| Tudelano vs ZaragozaCopa del ReyC | Copa del Rey | ZaragozaOur prob 47% | — | 47% | — | C | — |
| Recreativo Huelva vs Rayo VallecanoCopa del ReyB | Copa del Rey | Rayo VallecanoOur prob 48% | — | 48% | — | B | — |
| Arosa vs PontevedraCopa del ReyC | Copa del Rey | PontevedraOur prob 51% | — | 51% | — | C | — |
| Manacor vs VillarrealCopa del ReyB | Copa del Rey | VillarrealOur prob 65% | — | 65% | — | B | — |
| Alcazar vs MalagaCopa del ReyB | Copa del Rey | AlcazarOur prob 41% | — | 41% | — | B | — |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
Spain — country trends
How matches actually ended in the 2026/27 across Spain’s covered competitions: 240 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (985 played matches).
Competitions in Spain
3 competitions covered — squad size, matches played this season and fixtures inside our publication window, with how their matches ended.
-
Spain · cup- Teams
- 122
- Played
- 20 of 76
- Upcoming
- 57
- Home wins
- 50%
- Over 2.5
- 55%
- BTTS
- 40%
-
Spain · league- Teams
- 20
- Played
- 99 of 385
- Upcoming
- 3
- Home wins
- 44%
- Over 2.5
- 57%
- BTTS
- 59%
-
Spain · league- Teams
- 22
- Played
- 121 of 462
- Upcoming
- 57
- Home wins
- 46%
- Over 2.5
- 50%
- BTTS
- 51%
Played / scheduled count this season’s matches; Upcoming counts the fixtures currently inside our publication window. Home wins, Over 2.5 and BTTS are shares of each competition’s played matches in its latest season with results.
Top teams in Spain by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +1.53
- Attack
- 2.69
- Defence
- 1.16
- Net rating
- +1.34
- Attack
- 2.83
- Defence
- 1.48
- Net rating
- +1.29
- Attack
- 2.59
- Defence
- 1.29
- Net rating
- +1.19
- Attack
- 1.90
- Defence
- 0.71
- Net rating
- +1.13
- Attack
- 2.59
- Defence
- 1.46
- Net rating
- +0.94
- Attack
- 2.30
- Defence
- 1.35
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Recent results in Spain
What happened next to what we predicted