AC Oulu vs KuPS preview
In the upcoming match between AC Oulu and KuPS, the 1X2 probabilities show KuPS at 42%, while AC Oulu sits at 30%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2, with a 7% chance. Both teams have shown mixed recent form, with AC Oulu winning 3 of their last 6 games and KuPS only managing 1 win in the same period.
The expected goals indicate AC Oulu at 1.48 and KuPS at 1.16, suggesting a competitive match. The model also shows a 49% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance for both teams to score. However, AC Oulu's strong head-to-head record of 5 wins in the last 10 encounters could challenge these predictions.
AC Oulu vs KuPS: model vs market
| Source | AC Oulu | Draw | KuPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43% | 28% | 28% |
| Market | 25% | 28% | 47% |
| Published | 30% | 28% | 42% |
| Edge | +5% | 0% | -5% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.95, recorded — the top price across the 1 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -17.3% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
AC Oulu vs KuPS odds movement
Median bookmaker price on KuPS, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-26.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| AC Oulu | 3.64 | 3.64 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.30 | 3.30 | +0.00 |
| KuPS | 1.95 | 1.95 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
AC Oulu and KuPS expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.63
- Attack rating (AC Oulu / KuPS)
- 0.98 / 0.80
- Defence rating (AC Oulu / KuPS)
- 1.06 / 0.96
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
AC Oulu vs KuPS score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: AC Oulu goals. Columns: KuPS goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
AC Oulu vs KuPS goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 54%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for AC Oulu vs KuPS
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AC Oulu | 30% | 3.37 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.58 | |
| KuPS | 42% | 2.36 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49% | 2.04 |
| Under 2.5 | 51% | 1.96 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54% | 1.85 |
| No | 46% | 2.18 | |
| Double chance | 1X (AC Oulu or draw) | 58% | 1.74 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.39 | |
| X2 (draw or KuPS) | 70% | 1.42 | |
| Handicap -1 | KuPS win by 2+ | 12% | 8.37 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
AC Oulu and KuPS recent form
AC Oulu
3W 0D 3L
KuPS
1W 1D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
AC Oulu at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-2-6
- Win rate
- 43%
- Goals for / match
- 1.14
- Goals against / match
- 1.14
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 14
- They have won 13 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
KuPS away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-5-3
- Win rate
- 47%
- Goals for / match
- 1.47
- Goals against / match
- 0.87
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 15
- They have won 14 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
League matches this season before kick-off: AC Oulu at home only, KuPS away only.
AC Oulu vs KuPS head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: AC Oulu 5 · draws 1 · KuPS 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-08 | KuPS | 0-1 | AC Oulu | Veikkausliiga |
| 2026-05-02 | AC Oulu | 2-0 | KuPS | Veikkausliiga |
| 2026-04-22 | KuPS | 3-2 | AC Oulu | Veikkausliiga |
| 2026-02-28 | AC Oulu | 5-0 | KuPS | League Cup |
| 2025-12-05 | KuPS | 1-2 | AC Oulu | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2025-07-04 | AC Oulu | 2-2 | KuPS | Veikkausliiga |
| 2025-04-12 | KuPS | 1-0 | AC Oulu | Veikkausliiga |
| 2025-03-25 | KuPS | 2-0 | AC Oulu | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2025-02-22 | KuPS | 2-1 | AC Oulu | League Cup |
| 2024-06-28 | AC Oulu | 1-0 | KuPS | Veikkausliiga |
Other Championship Group - 31 fixtures
- VPS vs HJK Helsinki — team news & stats 2026-11-02
- Inter Turku vs Gnistan 2026-11-02
Before and after this match
- AC Oulu, previous: AC Oulu vs VPS prediction
- KuPS, previous: KuPS v Gnistan analysis
- KuPS, next: KuPS v Gent analysis