KuPS vs Inter Turku preview
In the Veikkausliiga fixture between KuPS and Inter Turku, the 1X2 probabilities show a close contest with Inter Turku at 36% and KuPS at 31%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-1, which occurs 13% of the time. KuPS has struggled recently, with a form of L-D-D-L-W-L, while Inter Turku's form is better at L-W-L-W-D-W.
The expected goals suggest a tight match, with KuPS at 0.95 and Inter Turku at 1.04. The model indicates a 41% chance for both teams to score, but if KuPS can improve their performance, it could lead to a different outcome. The confidence grade is C, indicating uncertainty in the predictions.
KuPS vs Inter Turku: model vs market
| Source | KuPS | Draw | Inter Turku |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29% | 32% | 39% |
| Market | 25% | 25% | 51% |
| Published | 26% | 26% | 48% |
| Edge | +1% | +2% | -3% |
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.89, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -9.8% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
KuPS vs Inter Turku odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Inter Turku, 8 snapshots since 2026-11-03.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| KuPS | 4.02 | 3.75 | -0.27 |
| Draw | 3.78 | 3.73 | -0.05 |
| Inter Turku | 1.81 | 1.83 | +0.02 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
KuPS and Inter Turku expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.20
- Attack rating (KuPS / Inter Turku)
- 0.66 / 0.98
- Defence rating (KuPS / Inter Turku)
- 0.89 / 0.98
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
KuPS vs Inter Turku score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: KuPS goals. Columns: Inter Turku goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
KuPS vs Inter Turku goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 46%
- No goals (0–0)
- 12%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for KuPS vs Inter Turku
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | KuPS | 26% | 3.88 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.77 | |
| Inter Turku | 48% | 2.10 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38% | 2.65 |
| Under 2.5 | 62% | 1.61 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46% | 2.20 |
| No | 54% | 1.84 | |
| Double chance | 1X (KuPS or draw) | 52% | 1.91 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.36 | |
| X2 (draw or Inter Turku) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| Handicap -1 | Inter Turku win by 2+ | 18% | 5.70 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
KuPS and Inter Turku recent form
KuPS
1W 3D 2L
Inter Turku
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
KuPS at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-6-2
- Win rate
- 47%
- Goals for / match
- 1.60
- Goals against / match
- 1.07
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 15
- They have won 14 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
Inter Turku away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 8-5-2
- Win rate
- 53%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 0.80
- Clean sheets
- 8 of 15
- They have won 15 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 16 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: KuPS at home only, Inter Turku away only.
KuPS vs Inter Turku head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: KuPS 4 · draws 3 · Inter Turku 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | Inter Turku | 1-0 | KuPS | Veikkausliiga |
| 2026-08-31 | Inter Turku | 1-0 | KuPS | Veikkausliiga |
| 2026-05-30 | KuPS | 1-1 | Inter Turku | Veikkausliiga |
| 2025-11-02 | KuPS | 3-2 | Inter Turku | Veikkausliiga |
| 2025-10-05 | Inter Turku | 0-3 | KuPS | Veikkausliiga |
| 2025-08-17 | KuPS | 2-1 | Inter Turku | Veikkausliiga |
| 2025-04-05 | Inter Turku | 1-1 | KuPS | Veikkausliiga |
| 2024-09-21 | Inter Turku | 1-2 | KuPS | Suomen Cup |
| 2024-09-01 | KuPS | 1-2 | Inter Turku | Veikkausliiga |
| 2024-04-19 | Inter Turku | 1-1 | KuPS | Veikkausliiga |
Other Championship Group - 32 fixtures
- HJK Helsinki v AC Oulu — match page 2026-11-08
- Gnistan vs VPS 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- KuPS, previous: KuPS v Gent analysis
- KuPS, next: SC Braga v KuPS analysis
- Inter Turku, previous: Inter Turku – Gnistan, 2026-11-02