VPS vs Inter Turku preview
In the match between VPS and Inter Turku, the 1X2 probabilities show Inter Turku at 45%, while VPS is at 19%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with a probability of 19%. This suggests that Inter Turku is favored to win, but VPS could surprise if they improve their recent form, which includes 2 wins and 4 losses in their last 6 matches.
The expected goals indicate VPS at 0.59 and Inter Turku at 1.05, supporting the prediction of a low-scoring game. With only a 23% chance for Over 2.5 goals and 30% for both teams to score, the match may not see many goals. However, if VPS finds their scoring touch, the outcome could differ from the forecast.
VPS vs Inter Turku: model vs market
| Source | VPS | Draw | Inter Turku |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 20% | 35% | 45% |
| Market | 21% | 25% | 55% |
| Published | 20% | 28% | 52% |
| Edge | 0% | +10% | -10% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.07 vs 0.63.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.73, recorded — the top price across the 4 books we record, each at its own last update.
VPS vs Inter Turku odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Inter Turku, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-19.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| VPS | 4.53 | 4.53 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.74 | 3.74 | +0.00 |
| Inter Turku | 1.71 | 1.71 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
VPS and Inter Turku expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.70
- Attack rating (VPS / Inter Turku)
- 0.59 / 0.72
- Defence rating (VPS / Inter Turku)
- 1.09 / 0.68
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
VPS vs Inter Turku score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: VPS goals. Columns: Inter Turku goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
VPS vs Inter Turku goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 32%
- No goals (0–0)
- 19%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for VPS vs Inter Turku
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | VPS | 20% | 4.88 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.64 | |
| Inter Turku | 52% | 1.92 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 24% | 4.10 |
| Under 2.5 | 76% | 1.32 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 32% | 3.12 |
| No | 68% | 1.47 | |
| Double chance | 1X (VPS or draw) | 48% | 2.08 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.38 | |
| X2 (draw or Inter Turku) | 80% | 1.26 | |
| Handicap -1 | Inter Turku win by 2+ | 19% | 5.30 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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| 4 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
VPS and Inter Turku recent form
VPS
2W 0D 4L
Inter Turku
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
VPS at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-3-4
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.43
- Goals against / match
- 0.93
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 14
- They have won 11 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 27 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 5 penalties (40%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Inter Turku away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-5-2
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.43
- Goals against / match
- 0.86
- Clean sheets
- 7 of 14
- They have won 14 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 15 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: VPS at home only, Inter Turku away only.
VPS vs Inter Turku head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: VPS 2 · draws 2 · Inter Turku 6.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Inter Turku | 1-0 | VPS | Veikkausliiga |
| 2026-08-02 | VPS | 0-1 | Inter Turku | Veikkausliiga |
| 2026-06-30 | VPS | 2-3 | Inter Turku | Suomen Cup |
| 2026-04-04 | Inter Turku | 0-0 | VPS | Veikkausliiga |
| 2025-08-31 | Inter Turku | 2-1 | VPS | Veikkausliiga |
| 2025-04-19 | VPS | 0-2 | Inter Turku | Veikkausliiga |
| 2024-06-28 | Inter Turku | 3-1 | VPS | Veikkausliiga |
| 2024-05-27 | VPS | 3-1 | Inter Turku | Veikkausliiga |
| 2023-09-29 | VPS | 1-1 | Inter Turku | Veikkausliiga |
| 2023-07-12 | Inter Turku | 0-2 | VPS | Veikkausliiga |
Other Championship Group - 29 fixtures
- Gnistan vs AC Oulu — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- HJK Helsinki vs KuPS 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- VPS, previous: KuPS vs VPS prediction
- Inter Turku, previous: Inter Turku vs AC Oulu: odds and pick