Antigua GFC vs Cobán Imperial: model vs market
| Source | Antigua GFC | Draw | Cobán Imperial |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 60% | 21% | 18% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 60% | 21% | 18% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.27 vs 1.21.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Antigua GFC and Cobán Imperial expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.48
- Attack rating (Antigua GFC / Cobán Imperial)
- 1.28 / 1.06
- Defence rating (Antigua GFC / Cobán Imperial)
- 1.34 / 1.08
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Antigua GFC vs Cobán Imperial score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Antigua GFC goals. Columns: Cobán Imperial goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Antigua GFC vs Cobán Imperial goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 64%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Antigua GFC vs Cobán Imperial
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Antigua GFC | 60% | 1.65 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.73 | |
| Cobán Imperial | 18% | 5.43 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68% | 1.48 |
| Under 2.5 | 32% | 3.08 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64% | 1.57 |
| No | 36% | 2.76 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Antigua GFC or draw) | 82% | 1.23 |
| 12 (either side) | 79% | 1.27 | |
| X2 (draw or Cobán Imperial) | 40% | 2.53 | |
| Handicap -1 | Antigua GFC win by 2+ | 39% | 2.56 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Antigua GFC and Cobán Imperial recent form
Antigua GFC
3W 0D 3L
Cobán Imperial
2W 3D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Antigua GFC at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 2.40
- Goals against / match
- 0.80
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 7 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Cobán Imperial away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-3-3
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.83
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Antigua GFC at home only, Cobán Imperial away only.
Antigua GFC vs Cobán Imperial head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Antigua GFC 1 · draws 3 · Cobán Imperial 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Cobán Imperial | 0-2 | Antigua GFC | Guatemala Liga Nacional |
| 2026-03-09 | Antigua GFC | 2-2 | Cobán Imperial | Guatemala Liga Nacional |
| 2026-01-21 | Cobán Imperial | 5-1 | Antigua GFC | Guatemala Liga Nacional |
| 2025-11-06 | Antigua GFC | 0-0 | Cobán Imperial | Guatemala Liga Nacional |
| 2025-08-31 | Cobán Imperial | 2-2 | Antigua GFC | Guatemala Liga Nacional |
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