Comunicaciones vs Suchitepéquez: model vs market
| Source | Comunicaciones | Draw | Suchitepéquez |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 72% | 17% | 11% |
| Market | 65% | 23% | 13% |
| Published | 66% | 21% | 12% |
| Edge | +7% | -6% | -2% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.61 vs 0.98.
- The market prices Comunicaciones below the model: +7.1 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.
Comunicaciones vs Suchitepéquez odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Comunicaciones, 4 snapshots since 2026-10-03.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Comunicaciones | 1.50 | 1.41 | -0.09 |
| Draw | 3.90 | 4.00 | +0.10 |
| Suchitepéquez | 5.67 | 7.20 | +1.53 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Comunicaciones and Suchitepéquez expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.59
- Attack rating (Comunicaciones / Suchitepéquez)
- 1.04 / 0.91
- Defence rating (Comunicaciones / Suchitepéquez)
- 1.26 / 1.53
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Comunicaciones vs Suchitepéquez score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Comunicaciones goals. Columns: Suchitepéquez goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Comunicaciones vs Suchitepéquez goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 58%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Comunicaciones vs Suchitepéquez
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Comunicaciones | 66% | 1.51 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.68 | |
| Suchitepéquez | 12% | 8.15 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 | 30% | 3.28 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58% | 1.71 |
| No | 42% | 2.41 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Comunicaciones or draw) | 88% | 1.14 |
| 12 (either side) | 79% | 1.27 | |
| X2 (draw or Suchitepéquez) | 34% | 2.97 | |
| Handicap -1 | Comunicaciones win by 2+ | 51% | 1.96 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Comunicaciones and Suchitepéquez recent form
Comunicaciones
1W 2D 3L
Suchitepéquez
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Comunicaciones at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-3
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 1.40
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Suchitepéquez away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-6
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.67
- Goals against / match
- 2.67
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 6
- They have won 1 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 11 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Comunicaciones at home only, Suchitepéquez away only.
Comunicaciones vs Suchitepéquez head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Comunicaciones 3 · draws 3 · Suchitepéquez 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | Suchitepéquez | 0-0 | Comunicaciones | Guatemala Liga Nacional |
| 2018-03-25 | Suchitepéquez | 3-2 | Comunicaciones | Liga Nacional |
| 2018-01-27 | Comunicaciones | 1-0 | Suchitepéquez | Liga Nacional |
| 2017-10-29 | Suchitepéquez | 2-2 | Comunicaciones | Liga Nacional |
| 2017-08-27 | Comunicaciones | 2-0 | Suchitepéquez | Liga Nacional |
| 2017-05-15 | Comunicaciones | 0-0 | Suchitepéquez | Liga Nacional |
| 2017-05-11 | Suchitepéquez | 1-0 | Comunicaciones | Liga Nacional |
| 2017-04-13 | Comunicaciones | 2-1 | Suchitepéquez | Liga Nacional |
| 2017-02-15 | Suchitepéquez | 1-0 | Comunicaciones | Liga Nacional |
| 2016-10-02 | Suchitepéquez | 2-1 | Comunicaciones | Liga Nacional |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Marquense v Antigua GFC — match page 2026-10-03
- Cobán Imperial vs Malacateco 2026-10-03
- Xelajú vs Deportivo San Pedro 2026-10-04
- Guastatoya vs Aurora — team news & stats 2026-10-04