CD Olimpia vs Olancho preview
In the fixture between CD Olimpia and Olancho, the 1X2 probabilities show CD Olimpia at 60% to win, while Olancho sits at 15%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0, which reflects Olimpia's stronger expected goals of 1.80 compared to Olancho’s 0.81.
However, the recent form of both teams could influence the outcome. CD Olimpia has won 4 of their last 5 matches, while Olancho has struggled with 3 draws and 2 losses in their recent games. Additionally, with a 48% chance for Over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score, there is potential for surprises that could affect the match dynamics.
CD Olimpia vs Olancho: model vs market
| Source | CD Olimpia | Draw | Olancho |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 60% | 25% | 15% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 60% | 25% | 15% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.80 vs 0.81.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
CD Olimpia and Olancho expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.61
- Attack rating (CD Olimpia / Olancho)
- 1.33 / 1.02
- Defence rating (CD Olimpia / Olancho)
- 0.62 / 0.87
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
CD Olimpia vs Olancho score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: CD Olimpia goals. Columns: Olancho goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
CD Olimpia vs Olancho goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 47%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for CD Olimpia vs Olancho
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CD Olimpia | 60% | 1.67 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.03 | |
| Olancho | 15% | 6.52 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48% | 2.07 |
| Under 2.5 | 52% | 1.94 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47% | 2.11 |
| No | 53% | 1.90 | |
| Double chance | 1X (CD Olimpia or draw) | 85% | 1.18 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or Olancho) | 40% | 2.49 | |
| Handicap -1 | CD Olimpia win by 2+ | 35% | 2.83 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
CD Olimpia and Olancho recent form
CD Olimpia
5W 0D 1L
Olancho
1W 4D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
CD Olimpia at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 3.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.60
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 9 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 1.6 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Olancho away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-3-2
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 0.67
- Goals against / match
- 0.83
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 6
- They have won 3 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: CD Olimpia at home only, Olancho away only.
CD Olimpia vs Olancho head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: CD Olimpia 0 · draws 5 · Olancho 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Olancho | 1-1 | CD Olimpia | Honduras Liga Nacional |
| 2026-03-18 | CD Olimpia | 0-0 | Olancho | Honduras Liga Nacional |
| 2026-01-28 | Olancho | 1-1 | CD Olimpia | Honduras Liga Nacional |
| 2025-12-04 | Olancho | 2-2 | CD Olimpia | Honduras Liga Nacional |
| 2025-09-18 | CD Olimpia | 2-2 | Olancho | Honduras Liga Nacional |
Other Apertura - 14 fixtures
- Juticalpa vs Estrella Roja — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Lobos Upnfm vs CD Motagua 2026-11-07
- Platense FC vs Génesis — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Atletico Independiente vs Real Espana 2026-11-08
- CD Marathon v Atlético Choloma — match page 2026-11-09
Before and after this match
- CD Olimpia, previous: CD Olimpia – Juticalpa, 2026-11-05
- Olancho, previous: Olancho vs Lobos Upnfm: odds and pick