CD Olimpia vs Real Espana preview
In the match between CD Olimpia and Real Espana, the 1X2 probabilities show CD Olimpia at 43%, with the most likely scoreline being 1-0 at 10%. CD Olimpia's expected goals stand at 1.45, while Real Espana has 1.13.
However, the prediction could change if Real Espana's recent form, which includes 4 wins in their last 6 matches, continues to improve. Both teams to score has a probability of 53%, and with 48% for Over 2.5 goals, there is potential for a more open game than expected.
CD Olimpia vs Real Espana: model vs market
| Source | CD Olimpia | Draw | Real Espana |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43% | 29% | 28% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 43% | 29% | 28% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.45 vs 1.12.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
CD Olimpia and Real Espana expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.57
- Attack rating (CD Olimpia / Real Espana)
- 1.45 / 1.11
- Defence rating (CD Olimpia / Real Espana)
- 0.80 / 0.65
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
CD Olimpia vs Real Espana score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: CD Olimpia goals. Columns: Real Espana goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
CD Olimpia vs Real Espana goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 53%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for CD Olimpia vs Real Espana
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CD Olimpia | 43% | 2.31 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.49 | |
| Real Espana | 28% | 3.56 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48% | 2.11 |
| Under 2.5 | 52% | 1.90 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53% | 1.89 |
| No | 47% | 2.12 | |
| Double chance | 1X (CD Olimpia or draw) | 72% | 1.39 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.40 | |
| X2 (draw or Real Espana) | 57% | 1.76 | |
| Handicap -1 | CD Olimpia win by 2+ | 22% | 4.61 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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CD Olimpia and Real Espana recent form
CD Olimpia
3W 2D 1L
Real Espana
3W 3D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
CD Olimpia at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 3.25
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- They average 3.2 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Real Espana away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-0
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 0.67
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- 53% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: CD Olimpia at home only, Real Espana away only.
CD Olimpia vs Real Espana head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: CD Olimpia 4 · draws 2 · Real Espana 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-13 | CD Olimpia | 3-2 | Real Espana | Honduras Liga Nacional |
| 2026-05-10 | Real Espana | 3-1 | CD Olimpia | Honduras Liga Nacional |
| 2026-04-26 | Real Espana | 3-2 | CD Olimpia | Honduras Liga Nacional |
| 2026-03-08 | CD Olimpia | 1-1 | Real Espana | Honduras Liga Nacional |
| 2025-12-28 | CD Olimpia | 1-0 | Real Espana | Honduras Liga Nacional |
| 2025-12-11 | Real Espana | 0-1 | CD Olimpia | Honduras Liga Nacional |
| 2025-10-26 | CD Olimpia | 2-1 | Real Espana | Honduras Liga Nacional |
| 2025-08-17 | Real Espana | 0-0 | CD Olimpia | Honduras Liga Nacional |
Other Apertura - 10 fixtures
- CD Marathon vs Olancho — team news & stats 2026-10-15
Before and after this match
- CD Olimpia, previous: Génesis vs CD Olimpia: odds and pick
- Real Espana, previous: Estrella Roja – Real Espana, 2026-10-11