Breidablik vs Vikingur Reykjavik preview
In the match between Breidablik and Vikingur Reykjavik, the 1X2 probabilities show Vikingur Reykjavik at 54% and Breidablik at 26%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with an 8% chance. Both teams have shown a tendency for goals, as indicated by the 73% probability for Over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
Breidablik's recent form includes 4 losses in their last 6 matches, while Vikingur Reykjavik has drawn in 3 of their last 5. This could impact the outcome, as Vikingur Reykjavik's more stable form may help them secure a win. The expected goals are close, with Breidablik at 1.86 and Vikingur Reykjavik at 1.92, suggesting a competitive match.
Breidablik vs Vikingur Reykjavik: model vs market
| Source | Breidablik | Draw | Vikingur Reykjavik |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37% | 23% | 40% |
| Market | 22% | 20% | 58% |
| Published | 26% | 21% | 53% |
| Edge | +16% | +3% | -18% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.60, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update.
Breidablik vs Vikingur Reykjavik odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Vikingur Reykjavik, 10 snapshots since 2026-10-12.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Breidablik | 4.27 | 4.21 | -0.06 |
| Draw | 4.35 | 4.47 | +0.12 |
| Vikingur Reykjavik | 1.58 | 1.57 | -0.01 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Breidablik and Vikingur Reykjavik expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.78
- Attack rating (Breidablik / Vikingur Reykjavik)
- 0.96 / 1.12
- Defence rating (Breidablik / Vikingur Reykjavik)
- 1.08 / 0.97
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Breidablik vs Vikingur Reykjavik score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Breidablik goals. Columns: Vikingur Reykjavik goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Breidablik vs Vikingur Reykjavik goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 73%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Breidablik vs Vikingur Reykjavik
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Breidablik | 26% | 3.91 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.76 | |
| Vikingur Reykjavik | 53% | 1.87 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73% | 1.37 |
| Under 2.5 | 27% | 3.67 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73% | 1.37 |
| No | 27% | 3.68 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Breidablik or draw) | 47% | 2.15 |
| 12 (either side) | 79% | 1.27 | |
| X2 (draw or Vikingur Reykjavik) | 74% | 1.34 | |
| Handicap -1 | Vikingur Reykjavik win by 2+ | 22% | 4.57 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Breidablik and Vikingur Reykjavik recent form
Breidablik
2W 0D 4L
Vikingur Reykjavik
2W 3D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Breidablik at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-1-4
- Win rate
- 58%
- Goals for / match
- 2.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.83
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 12
- They have won 10 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 25 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Vikingur Reykjavik away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 9-2-1
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 2.83
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 12
- They have won 18 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 3.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 13 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 7 penalties (100%).
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Breidablik at home only, Vikingur Reykjavik away only.
Breidablik vs Vikingur Reykjavik head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Breidablik 4 · draws 3 · Vikingur Reykjavik 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-28 | Breidablik | 3-0 | Vikingur Reykjavik | Cup |
| 2026-06-25 | Breidablik | 1-4 | Vikingur Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild |
| 2026-04-10 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 1-1 | Breidablik | Úrvalsdeild |
| 2025-10-18 | Breidablik | 1-2 | Vikingur Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild |
| 2025-08-31 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 2-2 | Breidablik | Úrvalsdeild |
| 2025-06-01 | Breidablik | 3-1 | Vikingur Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild |
| 2024-10-27 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 0-3 | Breidablik | Úrvalsdeild |
| 2024-05-30 | Breidablik | 1-1 | Vikingur Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild |
| 2024-04-21 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 4-1 | Breidablik | Úrvalsdeild |
| 2023-09-25 | Breidablik | 3-1 | Vikingur Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild |
Other Championship Group - 4 fixtures
- Keflavik vs KR Reykjavik 2026-10-17
- Fram Reykjavik v IA Akranes — match page 2026-10-18
Before and after this match
- Breidablik, previous: Breidablik – Keflavik, 2026-10-11
- Vikingur Reykjavik, previous: Vikingur Reykjavik v IA Akranes analysis