Fram Reykjavik vs IA Akranes preview
In the match between Fram Reykjavik and IA Akranes, the 1X2 probabilities show Fram Reykjavik at 45%, IA Akranes at 35%, and a draw at 20%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1, which occurs with a 7% chance. The high likelihood of Over 2.5 goals stands at 83%, and both teams to score is at 81%.
Fram Reykjavik's recent form includes 1 win and 4 draws, while IA Akranes has 2 wins and 3 draws. The expected goals are 2.42 for Fram Reykjavik and 2.13 for IA Akranes. However, the confidence grade is C, indicating that unexpected outcomes could still occur.
Fram Reykjavik vs IA Akranes: model vs market
| Source | Fram Reykjavik | Draw | IA Akranes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45% | 20% | 35% |
| Market | 51% | 22% | 27% |
| Published | 50% | 22% | 29% |
| Edge | -6% | -2% | +8% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.87, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update.
Fram Reykjavik vs IA Akranes odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Fram Reykjavik, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-14.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fram Reykjavik | 1.72 | 1.79 | +0.07 |
| Draw | 4.30 | 4.10 | -0.20 |
| IA Akranes | 3.68 | 3.45 | -0.23 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Fram Reykjavik and IA Akranes expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.55
- Attack rating (Fram Reykjavik / IA Akranes)
- 1.09 / 1.21
- Defence rating (Fram Reykjavik / IA Akranes)
- 1.12 / 1.11
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Fram Reykjavik vs IA Akranes score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Fram Reykjavik goals. Columns: IA Akranes goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Fram Reykjavik vs IA Akranes goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 81%
- No goals (0–0)
- 2%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Fram Reykjavik vs IA Akranes
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fram Reykjavik | 50% | 2.02 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.58 | |
| IA Akranes | 29% | 3.50 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 83% | 1.20 |
| Under 2.5 | 17% | 5.94 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 81% | 1.24 |
| No | 19% | 5.21 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Fram Reykjavik or draw) | 71% | 1.40 |
| 12 (either side) | 78% | 1.28 | |
| X2 (draw or IA Akranes) | 50% | 1.99 | |
| Handicap -1 | Fram Reykjavik win by 2+ | 28% | 3.61 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Fram Reykjavik and IA Akranes recent form
Fram Reykjavik
1W 3D 2L
IA Akranes
2W 3D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Fram Reykjavik at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-3-4
- Win rate
- 46%
- Goals for / match
- 2.54
- Goals against / match
- 2.23
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 13
- They have won 13 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 24 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
IA Akranes away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-3-6
- Win rate
- 31%
- Goals for / match
- 1.77
- Goals against / match
- 2.54
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 13
- They have won 9 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 24 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Fram Reykjavik at home only, IA Akranes away only.
Fram Reykjavik vs IA Akranes head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Fram Reykjavik 2 · draws 1 · IA Akranes 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-29 | IA Akranes | 0-2 | Fram Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild |
| 2026-04-12 | Fram Reykjavik | 3-3 | IA Akranes | Úrvalsdeild |
| 2025-07-05 | IA Akranes | 0-1 | Fram Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild |
| 2025-04-06 | Fram Reykjavik | 0-1 | IA Akranes | Úrvalsdeild |
Other Championship Group - 4 fixtures
- Breidablik vs Vikingur Reykjavik — team news & stats 2026-10-16
- Keflavik vs KR Reykjavik 2026-10-17
Before and after this match
- Fram Reykjavik, previous: Fram Reykjavik vs KR Reykjavik prediction
- IA Akranes, previous: Vikingur Reykjavik v IA Akranes analysis