Drita vs Malisheva preview
Drita hosts Malisheva with the market showing probabilities of 34% for a Drita win, 27% for a draw, and 39% for a Malisheva victory. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, which aligns with the expected goals of 1.42 for Drita and 1.52 for Malisheva. The match also has a 56% chance of Over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance for both teams to score.
Drita's recent form shows mixed results with two wins, two draws, and one loss, while Malisheva comes in strong with four wins and one draw in their last six matches. This form could influence the outcome, making the probabilities less reliable. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating that the model's predictions should be approached with caution.
Drita vs Malisheva: model vs market
| Source | Drita | Draw | Malisheva |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34% | 27% | 39% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 34% | 27% | 39% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Drita and Malisheva expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.94
- Attack rating (Drita / Malisheva)
- 1.10 / 1.65
- Defence rating (Drita / Malisheva)
- 0.75 / 0.88
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Drita vs Malisheva score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Drita goals. Columns: Malisheva goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Drita vs Malisheva goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 60%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Drita vs Malisheva
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Drita | 34% | 2.92 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.73 | |
| Malisheva | 39% | 2.57 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56% | 1.77 |
| Under 2.5 | 44% | 2.29 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60% | 1.65 |
| No | 40% | 2.53 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Drita or draw) | 61% | 1.64 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.37 | |
| X2 (draw or Malisheva) | 66% | 1.52 | |
| Handicap -1 | Malisheva win by 2+ | 20% | 5.10 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Drita and Malisheva recent form
Drita
2W 3D 1L
Malisheva
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Drita at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-0
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 3
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
Malisheva away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-1
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 3.25
- Goals against / match
- 0.75
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.7 goals per match.
- They average 3.2 goals per game on the road against 2.0 at home.
League matches this season before kick-off: Drita at home only, Malisheva away only.
Drita vs Malisheva head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Drita 4 · draws 4 · Malisheva 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 | Malisheva | 3-2 | Drita | Kosovo Superliga |
| 2026-04-05 | Drita | 2-0 | Malisheva | Kosovo Superliga |
| 2025-12-21 | Malisheva | 1-1 | Drita | Kosovo Superliga |
| 2025-10-18 | Drita | 2-1 | Malisheva | Kosovo Superliga |
| 2025-04-13 | Malisheva | 1-0 | Drita | Superliga |
| 2025-02-07 | Drita | 2-0 | Malisheva | Superliga |
| 2024-10-27 | Malisheva | 0-0 | Drita | Superliga |
| 2024-09-18 | Drita | 2-1 | Malisheva | Superliga |
| 2024-05-25 | Drita | 1-1 | Malisheva | Superliga |
| 2024-03-30 | Malisheva | 1-1 | Drita | Superliga |
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